BRO

Brown & Brown Inc. Financial Services - Insurance Brokerage Investor Relations →

YES
8.5% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -10.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $80.62
14-Week RSI 40

Brown & Brown Inc. (BRO) closed at $73.78 as of 2026-02-02, trading 8.5% below its 200-week moving average of $80.62. This places BRO in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2299 weeks of data, BRO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BRO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.7%.

With a market cap of $25.2 billion, BRO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 11.2%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.

BRO is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 85.00%.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRO would have grown to $15900, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BRO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 12.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: BRO vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BRO Crosses Below the Line?

Across 6 historical episodes, buying BRO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.2% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +51.5% vs +29.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BRO has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +21.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1982Nov 19824127.5%+5.3%+97930.5%
Jan 1983Mar 1983106.1%-21.2%+93029.2%
May 1983May 198323.6%-23.1%+95417.3%
Aug 1983Jan 19857524.6%-16.0%+99237.7%
Nov 1987Apr 19882318.3%+8.4%+50395.4%
Jul 1988Oct 19896911.0%+8.0%+45636.2%
Oct 1990Feb 19911613.1%+80.9%+42710.0%
Feb 1991Mar 199113.5%+115.9%+40529.9%
Oct 2007Oct 201015434.4%-16.1%+633.1%
Aug 2011Aug 201123.8%+30.6%+784.1%
Sep 2011Oct 2011611.5%+35.9%+774.3%
Jan 2016Jan 201611.2%+51.3%+450.4%
Oct 2025Nov 202522.0%N/A-7.1%
Dec 2025Ongoing10+10.8%Ongoing-5.6%
Average29+21.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02