BRC
Brady Corporation Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →
Brady Corporation (BRC) closed at $84.10 as of 2026-09-18, trading 26.3% above its 200-week moving average of $66.60. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.2x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 2033 weeks of data, BRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.4%.
With a market cap of $3.9 billion, BRC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.2%. Return on equity stands at 16.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.4% reduction over three years. BRC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRC would have grown to $2747, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. BRC has returned 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,000,025.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying BRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.5% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.2% vs +29.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BRC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BRC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-17.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $81.94 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $88.67 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $96.61 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $106.10 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $117.67 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | $1.47 | $1.48 | +1.0% |
| 2026-05-18 | $1.35 | $1.50 | +11.5% |
| 2026-02-19 | $1.09 | $1.09 | — |
| 2025-11-17 | $1.19 | $1.21 | +1.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +18.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jun 1988 | 36 | 48.4% | -13.7% | +3925.7% |
| Sep 1988 | Mar 1989 | 26 | 13.6% | +23.9% | +4363.3% |
| Apr 1989 | May 1989 | 6 | 5.9% | +48.9% | +4462.5% |
| Aug 1990 | Dec 1990 | 19 | 23.8% | +63.3% | +4090.0% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 2 | 0.5% | +35.3% | +3925.7% |
| Jul 1998 | Nov 1998 | 18 | 27.7% | +46.2% | +1288.5% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 9 | 12.9% | +17.4% | +1187.9% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 3.7% | +36.5% | +1088.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 4.1% | +19.5% | +870.5% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 14.0% | +45.9% | +882.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Mar 2008 | 8 | 9.8% | -27.9% | +316.7% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2010 | 74 | 54.5% | -4.7% | +308.5% |
| Mar 2010 | Mar 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +19.3% | +296.1% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 16.6% | +19.9% | +299.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 13.2% | +1.1% | +319.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.2% | +17.7% | +323.8% |
| May 2012 | Aug 2012 | 12 | 9.2% | +30.8% | +314.5% |
| Aug 2012 | Aug 2012 | 1 | 0.3% | +30.0% | +309.6% |
| Sep 2013 | Nov 2013 | 8 | 2.8% | -23.4% | +269.2% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 2.2% | -10.7% | +275.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Jun 2014 | 22 | 15.3% | -5.8% | +267.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Feb 2015 | 30 | 26.8% | -12.2% | +274.0% |
| Feb 2015 | Feb 2016 | 54 | 27.9% | -3.2% | +292.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 5.6% | +48.1% | +146.6% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 6.7% | +32.7% | +137.4% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 9.7% | +40.4% | +144.3% |
| Feb 2022 | May 2022 | 14 | 10.9% | +16.4% | +93.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 6 | 7.7% | +6.7% | +90.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 1.7% | +10.8% | +91.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 12.7% | +13.7% | +96.2% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 4.3% | +25.9% | +93.4% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 1.8% | +40.0% | +83.1% |
| Average | 13 | — | +18.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Brady Corporation (BRC) is currently 26.3% above its 200-week moving average of $66.60. It would need to fall to $66.60 to cross below the line.
What is BRC's 200-week moving average price?
Brady Corporation's 200-week moving average is $66.60 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BRC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is BRC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BRC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 4.2%. Return on equity is 16.1%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BRC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in BRC would have grown to $2747, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BRC pay a dividend?
Yes. Brady Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 117.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18