BRC
Brady Corporation Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →
Brady Corporation (BRC) closed at $85.31 as of 2026-06-19, trading 34.2% above its 200-week moving average of $63.55. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2020 weeks of data, BRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.2%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, BRC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.6%. Return on equity stands at 16.7%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.7% over the past three years. BRC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BRC would have grown to $2779, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. BRC has returned 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,000,025.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying BRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.4% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.0% vs +28.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BRC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BRC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-04-30).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $72.44 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $76.75 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $81.61 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $87.12 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $93.44 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BRC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +18.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Jun 1988 | 36 | 48.4% | -13.7% | +3972.4% |
| Sep 1988 | Mar 1989 | 26 | 13.6% | +23.9% | +4415.1% |
| Apr 1989 | May 1989 | 6 | 5.9% | +48.9% | +4515.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Dec 1990 | 19 | 23.8% | +63.3% | +4138.6% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 2 | 0.5% | +35.3% | +3972.4% |
| Jul 1998 | Nov 1998 | 18 | 27.6% | +46.2% | +1304.6% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 9 | 12.8% | +17.4% | +1202.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 1 | 3.7% | +36.5% | +1102.6% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 0.3% | +14.6% | +922.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 4.1% | +19.5% | +881.7% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 14.0% | +45.9% | +894.0% |
| Jan 2008 | Mar 2008 | 8 | 9.8% | -27.9% | +321.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Mar 2010 | 74 | 54.4% | -4.8% | +315.6% |
| Mar 2010 | Mar 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +19.3% | +300.7% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 20 | 16.6% | +19.9% | +304.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 13.2% | +1.1% | +324.2% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.1% | +17.7% | +328.8% |
| May 2012 | Aug 2012 | 12 | 9.2% | +30.8% | +319.3% |
| Aug 2012 | Aug 2012 | 1 | 0.3% | +30.0% | +314.4% |
| Oct 2013 | Nov 2013 | 7 | 2.7% | -27.1% | +273.5% |
| Dec 2013 | Dec 2013 | 1 | 2.1% | -10.7% | +280.1% |
| Jan 2014 | Jun 2014 | 22 | 15.2% | -5.8% | +271.5% |
| Jul 2014 | Feb 2015 | 30 | 27.4% | -12.4% | +280.8% |
| Feb 2015 | Feb 2016 | 54 | 27.8% | -3.2% | +296.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 5.5% | +48.1% | +149.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 6.7% | +32.7% | +140.2% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 2 | 9.6% | +40.4% | +147.1% |
| Feb 2022 | May 2022 | 14 | 10.9% | +16.4% | +96.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 6 | 7.6% | +6.7% | +92.9% |
| Aug 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +10.8% | +93.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 12.6% | +13.7% | +98.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 4.2% | +25.9% | +95.7% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 2.3% | +40.0% | +85.2% |
| Average | 13 | — | +18.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BRC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Brady Corporation (BRC) is currently 34.2% above its 200-week moving average of $63.55. It would need to fall to $63.55 to cross below the line.
What is BRC's 200-week moving average price?
Brady Corporation's 200-week moving average is $63.55 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BRC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is BRC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BRC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow yield is 3.6%. Return on equity is 16.7%. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BRC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in BRC would have grown to $2779, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BRC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BRC pay a dividend?
Yes. Brady Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 115.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19