BR
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. Technology - Information Technology Services Investor Relations →
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. (BR) closed at $163.13 as of 2026-09-18, trading 13.2% below its 200-week moving average of $187.86. This places BR in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -10.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 969 weeks of data, BR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.9%.
With a market cap of $18.6 billion, BR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.4%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 40.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.5x book value.
Over the past 18.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BR would have grown to $1249, compared to $801 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 11.8% for the index — confirming BR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 18.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying BR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.8% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.6% vs +35.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $118.73 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $130.73 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $145.42 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $163.84 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $187.60 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $3.76 | $3.82 | +1.7% |
| 2026-04-30 | $2.60 | $2.72 | +4.5% |
| 2026-02-03 | $1.36 | $1.59 | +16.8% |
| 2025-11-04 | $1.25 | $1.51 | +21.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BR has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +29.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2008 | May 2008 | 11 | 15.7% | -15.3% | +1148.9% |
| Aug 2008 | Mar 2009 | 32 | 47.0% | +4.5% | +1103.2% |
| May 2009 | Aug 2009 | 13 | 14.4% | +25.4% | +1231.3% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.0% | +25.9% | +1128.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 3.7% | +63.7% | +101.5% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 2.0% | +35.3% | +31.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 2.6% | +48.0% | +31.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 2.6% | +51.3% | +27.5% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 33+ | 26.7% | Ongoing | -8.7% |
| Average | 11 | — | +29.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. (BR) is trading 13.2% below its 200-week moving average of $187.86. The current price is $163.13.
What is BR's 200-week moving average price?
Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $187.86 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BR drops below its 200-week moving average?
BR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +29.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is BR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BR as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow yield is 6.4%. Return on equity is 40.9%. Price-to-book is 6.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 18.7 years, $100 invested in BR would have grown to $1249, compared to $801 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 11.8% for the index. BR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BR pay a dividend?
Yes. Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 267.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18