BOX
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Box Inc. (BOX) closed at $24.62 as of 2026-03-20, trading 15.3% below its 200-week moving average of $29.09. This places BOX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -14.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 534 weeks of data, BOX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BOX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.5%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, BOX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 58.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at -11.6x book value.
Over the past 10.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BOX would have grown to $176, compared to $379 for the S&P 500. BOX has returned 5.6% annualized vs 13.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BOX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BOX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying BOX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.1% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +21.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.5% vs +38.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BOX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BOX has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +23.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2015 | Sep 2016 | 37 | 35.8% | -0.7% | +76.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.6% | +55.9% | +75.2% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 2 | 3.8% | +49.9% | +78.8% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 2.5% | -5.9% | +44.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 8.0% | +9.4% | +53.6% |
| Jun 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | +5.2% | +41.4% |
| Jun 2019 | May 2020 | 47 | 40.8% | +22.0% | +39.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 2 | 2.9% | +37.4% | +34.5% |
| Jul 2020 | Mar 2021 | 34 | 19.1% | +27.1% | +33.3% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 0.8% | +35.5% | +2.6% |
| May 2024 | May 2024 | 1 | 0.3% | +23.0% | -2.6% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 12+ | 21.6% | Ongoing | -14.6% |
| Average | 12 | — | +23.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BOX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Box Inc. (BOX) is trading 15.3% below its 200-week moving average of $29.09. The current price is $24.62.
What is BOX's 200-week moving average price?
Box Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $29.09 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BOX drops below its 200-week moving average?
BOX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is BOX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BOX as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 31. Free cash flow yield is 9.9%. Return on equity is 58.5%. Price-to-book is -11.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BOX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.3 years, $100 invested in BOX would have grown to $176, compared to $379 for the S&P 500. That's 5.6% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. BOX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20