BOX
Box Inc. Technology - Cloud Storage Investor Relations →
Box Inc. (BOX) closed at $24.67 as of 2026-02-02, trading 15.7% below its 200-week moving average of $29.25. This places BOX in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -13.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, BOX is in oversold territory.
Over the past 528 weeks of data, BOX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BOX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.5%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, BOX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 204.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at -12.4x book value.
Over the past 10.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BOX would have grown to $177, compared to $402 for the S&P 500. BOX has returned 5.7% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: BOX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BOX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying BOX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.1% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +21.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.5% vs +38.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BOX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BOX has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +23.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2015 | Sep 2016 | 37 | 35.8% | -0.7% | +76.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 1.6% | +55.9% | +75.6% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 2 | 3.8% | +49.9% | +79.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 2.5% | -5.9% | +45.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 8.0% | +9.4% | +53.9% |
| Jun 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | +5.2% | +41.7% |
| Jun 2019 | May 2020 | 47 | 40.8% | +22.0% | +40.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 2 | 2.9% | +37.4% | +34.7% |
| Jul 2020 | Mar 2021 | 34 | 19.1% | +27.1% | +33.6% |
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2023 | 1 | 0.8% | +35.5% | +2.8% |
| May 2024 | May 2024 | 1 | 0.3% | +23.0% | -2.4% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 6+ | 15.7% | Ongoing | -14.4% |
| Average | 11 | — | +23.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02