BOKF

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NO
48.4% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 41.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $92.06
14-Week RSI 87

BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF) closed at $136.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 48.4% above its 200-week moving average of $92.06. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 41.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, BOKF is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1748 weeks of data, BOKF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BOKF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.8%.

With a market cap of $8.6 billion, BOKF is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 10.1%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.3% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BOKF would have grown to $3161, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BOKF as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: BOKF vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BOKF Crosses Below the Line?

Across 26 historical episodes, buying BOKF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.5% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +37.5% vs +35.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BOKF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BOKF has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +15.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1992Dec 19921521.5%+47.2%+4182.8%
Jan 2000Dec 20004816.2%+22.4%+1296.0%
Jun 2008Sep 20081018.0%-16.9%+382.1%
Sep 2008Oct 20095450.7%-0.2%+348.5%
Oct 2009Nov 200967.1%+1.2%+350.4%
Feb 2010Feb 201010.4%+13.1%+347.5%
Feb 2010Mar 201010.1%+14.1%+345.9%
Aug 2010Oct 2010116.1%+1.1%+344.6%
Aug 2011Aug 201123.3%+29.5%+339.7%
Sep 2011Sep 201110.2%+30.9%+338.2%
Jan 2015Feb 201544.5%+2.3%+224.2%
Dec 2015Dec 201510.6%+45.9%+197.6%
Jan 2016Apr 20161520.8%+54.3%+217.0%
May 2016May 201623.0%+50.3%+202.6%
Dec 2018Dec 201823.7%+23.8%+127.9%
May 2019Jul 201952.5%-30.0%+115.8%
Aug 2019Sep 201932.3%-24.9%+113.2%
Sep 2019Oct 201943.0%-25.9%+113.7%
Jan 2020Feb 202021.2%-3.2%+102.4%
Feb 2020Jan 20214553.4%+22.9%+119.1%
Jan 2021Feb 202112.5%+40.5%+109.1%
Jun 2022Jun 202210.7%+18.0%+95.3%
Jul 2022Jul 202223.3%+12.0%+94.7%
May 2023May 202314.2%+28.1%+92.8%
Sep 2023Dec 20231118.3%+37.6%+82.5%
Apr 2025Apr 202511.5%N/A+58.1%
Average10+15.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02