BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) closed at $7.07 as of 2026-02-02, trading 56.8% below its 200-week moving average of $16.37. This places BLMN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -63.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 656 weeks of data, BLMN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BLMN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.5%.
With a market cap of $602 million, BLMN is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.4%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 12.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BLMN would have grown to $37, compared to $508 for the S&P 500. BLMN has returned -7.6% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 6 open-market purchases totaling $2,098,108. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while BLMN is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -70.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BLMN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BLMN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying BLMN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.8% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +12.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.6% vs +37.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BLMN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BLMN has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +11.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2014 | Nov 2014 | 15 | 21.6% | +10.6% | -54.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Apr 2017 | 88 | 23.9% | -3.6% | -55.2% |
| Jul 2017 | Nov 2017 | 17 | 14.8% | +13.1% | -49.6% |
| Jul 2018 | Sep 2018 | 7 | 6.9% | -3.2% | -51.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 2.7% | +6.5% | -53.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 9.4% | +22.2% | -52.8% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 2 | 3.4% | +14.9% | -54.4% |
| May 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | 1.9% | -39.8% | -53.4% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 9 | 16.4% | -42.7% | -52.9% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 2.5% | -3.1% | -53.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 42 | 74.4% | +39.5% | -52.9% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 5 | 5.9% | +27.5% | -55.4% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 1.8% | +26.5% | -56.6% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +40.2% | -57.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 14.4% | +38.7% | -56.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 5.4% | +36.6% | -55.4% |
| May 2024 | Ongoing | 90+ | 65.6% | Ongoing | -63.1% |
| Average | 17 | — | +11.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02