BLD
TopBuild Corp. Industrials - Building Products Investor Relations →
TopBuild Corp. (BLD) closed at $335.44 as of 2026-03-20, trading 6.4% above its 200-week moving average of $315.34. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 16.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 513 weeks of data, BLD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 3 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BLD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +141.0%.
With a market cap of $9.4 billion, BLD is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 23.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 9.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BLD would have grown to $940, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 25.4% vs 13.9% for the index — confirming BLD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BLD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BLD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying BLD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +136.3% after 12 months (median +124.0%), compared to +26.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +166.5% vs +50.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BLD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BLD has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +141.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 3 | 4.4% | +113.5% | +996.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 2 | 9.2% | +130.9% | +662.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 8.4% | +131.9% | +611.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 1 | 7.1% | +251.4% | +451.9% |
| Oct 2022 | Dec 2022 | 5 | 5.7% | +80.5% | +129.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 1.9% | +138.0% | +112.0% |
| Average | 3 | — | +141.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLD below its 200-week moving average?
No. TopBuild Corp. (BLD) is currently 6.4% above its 200-week moving average of $315.34. It would need to fall to $315.34 to cross below the line.
What is BLD's 200-week moving average price?
TopBuild Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $315.34 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BLD drops below its 200-week moving average?
BLD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +141.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 3 weeks on average.
Is BLD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BLD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 23.1%. Price-to-book is 4.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BLD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.9 years, $100 invested in BLD would have grown to $940, compared to $364 for the S&P 500. That's 25.4% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. BLD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20