BKSY

BlackSky Technology Inc. Industrials - Space Investor Relations →

NO
97.8% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 122.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $14.66
14-Week RSI 55
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.90

BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) closed at $28.99 as of 2026-06-19, trading 97.8% above its 200-week moving average of $14.66. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 122.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 291 weeks of data, BKSY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 108 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -82.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $1076 million, BKSY is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -102.7%. The stock trades at 13.2x book value.

Share count has increased 145.3% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 5.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BKSY would have grown to $36, compared to $223 for the S&P 500. BKSY has returned -16.6% annualized vs 15.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: BKSY vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BKSY Crosses Below the Line?

Across 2 historical episodes, buying BKSY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -84.5% after 12 months (median -84.0%), compared to -8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -88.0% vs +3.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BKSY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. BKSY currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score -0.27σ
Current FCF Yield -5.70%
Baseline Yield -6.43%
Historical σ 0.71pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from BKSY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.08σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -17.7pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +8.7pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+4.0pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

BKSY has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-82.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 2021Sep 2021222.6%-80.3%-64.3%
Sep 2021Jun 202519586.0%-85.0%-63.7%
Average108+-82.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is BKSY below its 200-week moving average?

No. BlackSky Technology Inc. (BKSY) is currently 97.8% above its 200-week moving average of $14.66. It would need to fall to $14.66 to cross below the line.

What is BKSY's 200-week moving average price?

BlackSky Technology Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.66 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when BKSY drops below its 200-week moving average?

BKSY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -82.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 108 weeks on average.

Is BKSY a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about BKSY as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -102.7%. Price-to-book is 13.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does BKSY compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 5.7 years, $100 invested in BKSY would have grown to $36, compared to $223 for the S&P 500. That's -16.6% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. BKSY has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19