BKE
The Buckle, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →
The Buckle, Inc. (BKE) closed at $45.17 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.3% above its 200-week moving average of $36.92. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.75 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1732 weeks of data, BKE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BKE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.6%.
With a market cap of $2.3 billion, BKE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.0%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 49.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.0x book value.
Share count has increased 2.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BKE would have grown to $10564, compared to $3076 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.0% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming BKE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BKE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BKE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying BKE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.4% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +15.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +79.0% vs +33.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BKE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BKE would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BKE's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $44.77 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $47.14 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $49.78 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $52.73 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $56.05 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BKE's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BKE has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +26.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1993 | Mar 1994 | 48 | 35.7% | N/A | +10325.5% |
| Apr 1994 | Jul 1995 | 63 | 36.6% | -16.7% | +10904.7% |
| Jul 1995 | Aug 1995 | 4 | 5.1% | +79.4% | +12476.8% |
| Aug 1995 | Sep 1995 | 3 | 2.1% | +101.5% | +12089.8% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 2.1% | +81.5% | +12089.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Sep 1999 | 5 | 5.6% | -17.0% | +3344.4% |
| Sep 1999 | Nov 2000 | 59 | 39.7% | -34.0% | +3197.8% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2001 | 55 | 28.5% | +5.6% | +2969.3% |
| Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 0.6% | -14.1% | +2799.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 4 | 14.3% | +19.9% | +3380.5% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 1 | 0.2% | +14.9% | +2956.0% |
| Dec 2002 | May 2003 | 24 | 16.0% | +16.9% | +3050.4% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 3 | 18.9% | +59.1% | +1005.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 3.0% | +54.4% | +713.2% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2018 | 141 | 53.8% | -34.1% | +229.8% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 3 | 3.7% | -6.9% | +334.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Jul 2019 | 44 | 20.1% | -1.6% | +344.7% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 2.2% | +6.4% | +406.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 21 | 21.8% | +191.1% | +450.0% |
| Average | 26 | — | +26.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKE below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Buckle, Inc. (BKE) is currently 22.3% above its 200-week moving average of $36.92. It would need to fall to $36.92 to cross below the line.
What is BKE's 200-week moving average price?
The Buckle, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $36.92 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BKE drops below its 200-week moving average?
BKE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is BKE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BKE as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 7.0%. Return on equity is 49.0%. Price-to-book is 5.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BKE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in BKE would have grown to $10564, compared to $3076 for the S&P 500. That's 15.0% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. BKE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BKE pay a dividend?
Yes. The Buckle, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 317.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19