BKE
The Buckle, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →
The Buckle, Inc. (BKE) closed at $52.09 as of 2026-02-02, trading 51.4% above its 200-week moving average of $34.40. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 38.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1713 weeks of data, BKE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BKE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.6%.
With a market cap of $2.7 billion, BKE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 41.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.
Share count has increased 2.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 32.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BKE would have grown to $12103, compared to $2830 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.7% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming BKE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -12% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BKE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BKE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying BKE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.4% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +15.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +79.0% vs +33.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BKE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BKE has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +26.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1993 | Mar 1994 | 48 | 35.7% | N/A | +11843.8% |
| Apr 1994 | Jul 1995 | 63 | 36.6% | -16.7% | +12507.3% |
| Jul 1995 | Aug 1995 | 4 | 5.1% | +79.4% | +14308.3% |
| Aug 1995 | Sep 1995 | 3 | 2.1% | +101.5% | +13865.0% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 2.1% | +81.5% | +13865.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Sep 1999 | 5 | 5.6% | -17.0% | +3846.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Nov 2000 | 59 | 39.7% | -34.0% | +3678.1% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2001 | 55 | 28.5% | +5.6% | +3416.3% |
| Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 0.6% | -14.1% | +3221.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 4 | 14.3% | +19.9% | +3887.4% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 1 | 0.2% | +14.9% | +3401.0% |
| Dec 2002 | May 2003 | 24 | 16.0% | +16.9% | +3509.2% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 3 | 18.9% | +59.1% | +1166.2% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 3.0% | +54.4% | +831.7% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2018 | 141 | 53.8% | -34.1% | +277.9% |
| Jul 2018 | Jul 2018 | 3 | 3.7% | -6.9% | +397.9% |
| Sep 2018 | Jul 2019 | 44 | 20.1% | -1.6% | +409.5% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 2.2% | +6.4% | +480.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 21 | 21.8% | +191.1% | +530.1% |
| Average | 26 | — | +26.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02