BK
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Financial Services - Banks - Diversified Investor Relations →
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) closed at $124.32 as of 2026-02-02, trading 98.7% above its 200-week moving average of $62.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 92.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, BK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2705 weeks of data, BK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 44 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.3%.
With a market cap of $86.7 billion, BK is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 12.9%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BK would have grown to $3624, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.4% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BK as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying BK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.7% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.8% vs +34.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BK has crossed below its 200-week MA 44 times with an average 1-year return of +10.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Jun 1975 | 63 | 30.3% | -4.4% | +26495.9% |
| Aug 1975 | Jan 1976 | 23 | 16.0% | +10.7% | +28428.1% |
| Mar 1976 | Mar 1976 | 1 | 1.1% | +18.3% | +27714.9% |
| Oct 1976 | Nov 1976 | 4 | 1.6% | +4.9% | +27371.5% |
| Oct 1977 | Nov 1977 | 2 | 3.6% | +5.7% | +27147.2% |
| Dec 1977 | Jan 1978 | 5 | 2.8% | +4.0% | +26926.6% |
| Jan 1978 | Mar 1978 | 6 | 1.6% | +11.9% | +27371.5% |
| Apr 1978 | Apr 1978 | 1 | 1.0% | +5.7% | +27147.2% |
| Oct 1978 | Dec 1978 | 8 | 3.1% | +7.5% | +26285.7% |
| Apr 1979 | Jun 1979 | 12 | 2.4% | -8.9% | +25674.4% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1979 | 2 | 3.0% | +12.5% | +25875.0% |
| Feb 1980 | Jun 1980 | 16 | 18.7% | +6.5% | +25282.4% |
| Oct 1980 | Dec 1980 | 8 | 6.0% | +10.8% | +24808.9% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 3 | 3.9% | +24.4% | +24624.4% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 4.0% | +21.5% | +8908.9% |
| Nov 1987 | Jun 1988 | 30 | 21.5% | +24.2% | +8985.4% |
| Jan 1990 | Jan 1990 | 1 | 0.2% | -39.4% | +6617.1% |
| Mar 1990 | May 1990 | 9 | 17.7% | -17.9% | +6880.1% |
| Jun 1990 | May 1991 | 50 | 51.2% | +2.0% | +6886.5% |
| Jun 1991 | Jul 1991 | 3 | 11.8% | +49.5% | +7936.7% |
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 1 | 4.5% | +60.9% | +7519.6% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 4 | 10.0% | +88.3% | +7492.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 11 | 21.0% | -5.5% | +480.3% |
| Feb 2002 | Mar 2002 | 4 | 6.4% | -36.9% | +442.7% |
| Apr 2002 | Nov 2004 | 135 | 46.1% | -41.9% | +430.2% |
| Nov 2004 | Nov 2004 | 1 | 0.3% | +3.0% | +494.5% |
| Jan 2005 | Jul 2005 | 25 | 10.6% | +5.0% | +524.0% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.9% | +25.3% | +548.3% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 4 | 4.4% | -21.2% | +424.3% |
| Aug 2008 | Dec 2012 | 225 | 48.8% | -13.0% | +440.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | +16.2% | +242.0% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 9 | 6.5% | -21.4% | +234.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 10.3% | -8.6% | +254.3% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 7.0% | -22.7% | +236.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2021 | 59 | 37.5% | +1.9% | +222.6% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 5 | 6.1% | +3.0% | +215.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 9 | 7.2% | +7.4% | +223.8% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 2 | 6.1% | +7.8% | +227.0% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 12.1% | +10.0% | +241.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 2 | 1.4% | +32.5% | +217.3% |
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 6 | 6.5% | +39.5% | +217.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.5% | +42.1% | +212.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 1 | 1.3% | +57.4% | +214.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 6 | 3.9% | +73.8% | +210.7% |
| Average | 18 | — | +10.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02