BJRI
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) closed at $44.03 as of 2026-02-02, trading 34.9% above its 200-week moving average of $32.65. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 28.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, BJRI is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1482 weeks of data, BJRI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $974 million, BJRI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.
Over the past 28.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BJRI would have grown to $2194, compared to $1198 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.4% vs 9.1% for the index — confirming BJRI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.6% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: BJRI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BJRI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying BJRI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.3% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +9.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +21.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BJRI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BJRI has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1997 | Jul 2000 | 147 | 45.8% | -42.7% | +1830.7% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 1.5% | +158.5% | +2162.6% |
| Jun 2007 | Jun 2007 | 1 | 1.3% | -40.7% | +145.3% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2009 | 108 | 60.0% | -52.5% | +146.5% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 1 | 1.0% | -6.9% | +39.9% |
| Jan 2013 | Apr 2013 | 14 | 9.7% | -12.5% | +36.5% |
| Jul 2013 | Oct 2014 | 65 | 30.3% | -2.5% | +26.2% |
| Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | 1 | 0.3% | -9.9% | +16.5% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | 13 | 12.2% | -26.2% | +18.5% |
| Dec 2016 | Mar 2017 | 14 | 11.4% | -6.1% | +16.5% |
| Jun 2017 | Feb 2018 | 36 | 29.9% | +53.7% | +16.9% |
| May 2019 | Jan 2021 | 84 | 80.9% | -47.6% | +6.2% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 8 | 11.2% | -42.2% | +8.5% |
| Oct 2021 | Jul 2023 | 94 | 46.8% | -36.9% | +10.5% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 19 | 33.0% | -15.9% | +30.6% |
| Jan 2024 | Jan 2024 | 2 | 2.9% | +13.0% | +35.7% |
| Apr 2024 | May 2024 | 5 | 5.5% | -2.7% | +34.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | +29.2% | +29.0% |
| Jul 2024 | Oct 2024 | 12 | 18.1% | +23.6% | +39.7% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 1.5% | -0.1% | +29.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | 1 | 1.0% | N/A | +36.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 2.6% | N/A | +39.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Oct 2025 | 6 | 7.6% | N/A | +42.4% |
| Average | 28 | — | +-3.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02