BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Discount Stores Investor Relations →
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ) closed at $100.40 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.8% above its 200-week moving average of $81.78. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 349 weeks of data, BJ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BJ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +61.8%.
With a market cap of $13.2 billion, BJ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.0%. Return on equity stands at 29.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.0x book value.
Over the past 6.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BJ would have grown to $380, compared to $261 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.9% vs 15.3% for the index — confirming BJ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -14.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BJ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BJ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying BJ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +59.8% after 12 months (median +66.0%), compared to +12.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +123.0% vs +51.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BJ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BJ has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +61.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 3.3% | +40.2% | +305.5% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 7 | 14.0% | +60.6% | +315.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 3 | 5.8% | +65.9% | +321.1% |
| Nov 2019 | Mar 2020 | 19 | 22.4% | +80.3% | +331.1% |
| Average | 8 | — | +61.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02