BILI
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Bilibili Inc. (BILI) closed at $31.53 as of 2026-02-02, trading 64.8% above its 200-week moving average of $19.13. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 78.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 362 weeks of data, BILI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BILI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +125.1%.
With a market cap of $12.9 billion, BILI is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 5.4%. The stock trades at 6.1x book value.
Share count has increased 6.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BILI would have grown to $166, compared to $272 for the S&P 500. BILI has returned 7.5% annualized vs 15.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: BILI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BILI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying BILI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +127.2% after 12 months (median +196.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +370.2% vs +43.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BILI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BILI has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +125.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 8.1% | +135.2% | +124.4% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 5.9% | +196.1% | +114.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 5.7% | +194.5% | +120.0% |
| Jan 2022 | Jul 2025 | 184 | 80.1% | -25.5% | -18.0% |
| Average | 50 | — | +125.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02