BIDU
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Baidu Inc. (BIDU) closed at $111.76 as of 2026-06-19, trading 0.1% below its 200-week moving average of $111.93. This places BIDU in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 3.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1041 weeks of data, BIDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BIDU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.3%.
With a market cap of $38.0 billion, BIDU is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 20.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 0.3%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Over the past 20 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BIDU would have grown to $1495, compared to $844 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 11.3% for the index — confirming BIDU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BIDU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BIDU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying BIDU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.7% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +19.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.5% vs +33.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BIDU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. BIDU currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BIDU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BIDU has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +37.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2008 | Mar 2009 | 16 | 36.2% | +279.4% | +891.7% |
| Dec 2012 | Dec 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | +88.8% | +25.1% |
| Feb 2013 | Jul 2013 | 22 | 14.6% | +77.6% | +18.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 9 | 12.9% | +16.1% | -26.9% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 8.4% | +20.5% | -23.1% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.7% | +17.0% | -30.0% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 7 | 3.4% | +6.9% | -31.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Jan 2017 | 9 | 5.7% | +44.0% | -33.4% |
| Jan 2017 | Jan 2017 | 2 | 0.5% | +47.6% | -35.6% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 5.5% | +43.1% | -36.2% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 5 | 4.6% | +45.6% | -38.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Dec 2020 | 113 | 51.2% | -45.9% | -41.8% |
| Jul 2021 | Mar 2023 | 86 | 46.7% | -18.9% | -35.3% |
| Apr 2023 | Jul 2023 | 15 | 16.6% | -24.2% | -13.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2025 | 109 | 43.4% | -38.3% | -19.0% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 2.2% | N/A | +0.7% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 3 | 4.3% | N/A | +3.4% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 0.2% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 23 | — | +37.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BIDU below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Baidu Inc. (BIDU) is trading 0.1% below its 200-week moving average of $111.93. The current price is $111.76.
What is BIDU's 200-week moving average price?
Baidu Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $111.93 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BIDU drops below its 200-week moving average?
BIDU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +37.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is BIDU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BIDU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 20.9%. Return on equity is 0.3%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BIDU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20 years, $100 invested in BIDU would have grown to $1495, compared to $844 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 11.3% for the index. BIDU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19