BHB
Bar Harbor Bankshares Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) closed at $36.39 as of 2026-06-19, trading 33.8% above its 200-week moving average of $27.20. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 36.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, BHB is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1451 weeks of data, BHB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BHB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.9%.
With a market cap of $609 million, BHB is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.0%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 10.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BHB would have grown to $1073, compared to $1263 for the S&P 500. BHB has returned 8.9% annualized vs 9.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -6.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BHB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BHB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying BHB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.4% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +11.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 68% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +25.9% vs +31.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BHB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BHB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BHB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $32.29 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $33.53 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $34.87 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $36.32 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $37.90 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BHB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BHB has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +9.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1998 | Nov 2001 | 166 | 37.3% | -6.7% | +972.6% |
| Nov 2001 | Dec 2001 | 1 | 0.8% | +13.5% | +1032.8% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 5.2% | +16.8% | +1060.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 4 | 11.0% | +22.8% | +484.0% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 36 | 30.2% | +30.5% | +456.4% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.4% | +3.5% | +438.6% |
| Dec 2009 | Mar 2010 | 10 | 4.0% | +5.7% | +436.8% |
| May 2010 | Aug 2010 | 11 | 8.7% | +9.3% | +431.5% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 3 | 0.4% | +8.9% | +424.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 1.9% | +6.3% | +100.5% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2019 | 12 | 10.0% | +11.0% | +101.7% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 8.3% | -14.7% | +94.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 7.0% | -19.3% | +91.8% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 15 | 14.0% | -11.9% | +95.4% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 1 | 1.4% | +2.6% | +88.7% |
| Dec 2019 | Nov 2020 | 48 | 41.9% | -4.4% | +90.4% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 8 | 9.4% | +31.2% | +97.7% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 4 | 7.2% | +18.3% | +80.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 1 | 0.3% | +22.3% | +69.3% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 8 | 2.8% | +30.8% | +69.9% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 4.2% | +21.0% | +66.7% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 1.9% | +20.6% | +60.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +9.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BHB below its 200-week moving average?
No. Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) is currently 33.8% above its 200-week moving average of $27.20. It would need to fall to $27.20 to cross below the line.
What is BHB's 200-week moving average price?
Bar Harbor Bankshares's 200-week moving average is $27.20 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BHB drops below its 200-week moving average?
BHB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is BHB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BHB as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Return on equity is 8.0%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BHB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.9 years, $100 invested in BHB would have grown to $1073, compared to $1263 for the S&P 500. That's 8.9% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. BHB has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BHB pay a dividend?
Yes. Bar Harbor Bankshares currently pays a dividend yield of 360.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19