BGS
B&G Foods, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
B&G Foods, Inc. (BGS) closed at $5.14 as of 2026-02-02, trading 38.0% below its 200-week moving average of $8.29. This places BGS in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -47.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, BGS is in overbought territory.
Over the past 928 weeks of data, BGS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 64 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $411 million, BGS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 37.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -40.9%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
Share count has increased 15.5% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 17.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BGS would have grown to $192, compared to $694 for the S&P 500. BGS has returned 3.7% annualized vs 11.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: BGS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BGS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying BGS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -9.7% after 12 months (median -14.0%), compared to +2.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.0% vs +24.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BGS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BGS has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2008 | Jun 2009 | 59 | 73.6% | -25.0% | +92.5% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 3.2% | +56.6% | +103.5% |
| Jul 2017 | Oct 2017 | 11 | 9.4% | +3.2% | -67.1% |
| Jan 2018 | Jul 2020 | 130 | 49.8% | -2.6% | -68.1% |
| May 2022 | Jun 2022 | 4 | 6.1% | -34.4% | -65.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Ongoing | 180+ | 68.6% | Ongoing | -64.3% |
| Average | 64 | — | +-0.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02