BGC
BGC Group, Inc. Financial Services - Capital Markets Investor Relations →
BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) closed at $12.05 as of 2026-06-19, trading 59.6% above its 200-week moving average of $7.55. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 57.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, BGC is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1336 weeks of data, BGC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 46 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BGC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.3%.
With a market cap of $5.8 billion, BGC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 14.6%. The stock trades at 5.2x book value.
Share count has increased 27.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BGC would have grown to $377, compared to $894 for the S&P 500. BGC has returned 5.3% annualized vs 8.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $5,534,639.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 25.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BGC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BGC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying BGC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.4% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +15.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +48.6% vs +31.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BGC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BGC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BGC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $9.69 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $10.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.66 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $11.22 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $11.84 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BGC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BGC has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +22.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2000 | Aug 2003 | 143 | 82.2% | -68.1% | +173.6% |
| Jun 2004 | Nov 2007 | 178 | 49.8% | -31.1% | +302.2% |
| May 2008 | Mar 2010 | 96 | 78.2% | -62.8% | +476.2% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 3 | 3.1% | +64.5% | +656.7% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 15 | 14.4% | +52.8% | +673.5% |
| Jul 2012 | Sep 2012 | 6 | 7.3% | +35.7% | +623.9% |
| Sep 2012 | Apr 2013 | 27 | 33.4% | +28.1% | +609.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2019 | 53 | 24.2% | +5.1% | +136.8% |
| Dec 2019 | Apr 2021 | 66 | 61.9% | -29.2% | +123.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2022 | 54 | 31.5% | -14.2% | +169.9% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 6 | 11.5% | +55.7% | +211.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Feb 2023 | 1 | 1.1% | +70.3% | +195.8% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 2.6% | +98.6% | +196.6% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.3% | +107.4% | +193.1% |
| Average | 46 | — | +22.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BGC below its 200-week moving average?
No. BGC Group, Inc. (BGC) is currently 59.6% above its 200-week moving average of $7.55. It would need to fall to $7.55 to cross below the line.
What is BGC's 200-week moving average price?
BGC Group, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $7.55 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BGC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BGC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 46 weeks on average.
Is BGC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BGC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 72 (overbought). Return on equity is 14.6%. Price-to-book is 5.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BGC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.7 years, $100 invested in BGC would have grown to $377, compared to $894 for the S&P 500. That's 5.3% annualized vs 8.9% for the index. BGC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BGC pay a dividend?
Yes. BGC Group, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 68.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19