BG
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Bunge Global SA (BG) closed at $112.58 as of 2026-06-19, trading 23.2% above its 200-week moving average of $91.40. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 39.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1250 weeks of data, BG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $21.8 billion, BG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 4.9%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 29.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 24 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BG would have grown to $920, compared to $1269 for the S&P 500. BG has returned 9.7% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying BG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.6% after 12 months (median -3.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.8% vs +24.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. BG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BG has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 5.7% | +51.9% | +846.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2011 | 125 | 52.9% | -13.0% | +135.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 3 | 5.7% | -2.6% | +139.0% |
| Jun 2011 | Jul 2011 | 4 | 6.4% | -10.5% | +144.7% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 28 | 16.9% | -3.5% | +139.4% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 1.8% | +22.5% | +172.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 6 | 5.2% | -7.6% | +118.1% |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2016 | 58 | 33.4% | -13.2% | +111.1% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2017 | 8 | 5.2% | -4.2% | +108.7% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 3 | 3.5% | +4.0% | +113.1% |
| Sep 2017 | Jan 2018 | 17 | 8.2% | -3.8% | +105.4% |
| Apr 2018 | Sep 2018 | 21 | 9.6% | -25.0% | +105.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2020 | 107 | 47.3% | -13.3% | +111.9% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2025 | 52 | 23.9% | +12.7% | +32.6% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.3% | N/A | +27.9% |
| Average | 29 | — | +-0.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Bunge Global SA (BG) is currently 23.2% above its 200-week moving average of $91.40. It would need to fall to $91.40 to cross below the line.
What is BG's 200-week moving average price?
Bunge Global SA's 200-week moving average is $91.40 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BG drops below its 200-week moving average?
BG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -0.4%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is BG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 4.9%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24 years, $100 invested in BG would have grown to $920, compared to $1269 for the S&P 500. That's 9.7% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. BG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BG pay a dividend?
Yes. Bunge Global SA currently pays a dividend yield of 241.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19