BG
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Bunge Global SA (BG) closed at $106.23 as of 2026-07-31, trading 15.0% above its 200-week moving average of $92.35. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 31.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.82 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1256 weeks of data, BG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.5%.
With a market cap of $20.4 billion, BG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 7.2%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Share count has increased 29.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 24.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BG would have grown to $868, compared to $1270 for the S&P 500. BG has returned 9.4% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying BG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.6% after 12 months (median -3.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +7.6% vs +24.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. BG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BG has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +0.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 5.8% | +51.9% | +793.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2011 | 126 | 52.9% | -13.0% | +122.0% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 3 | 5.7% | -2.6% | +125.5% |
| Jun 2011 | Jul 2011 | 4 | 6.5% | -10.5% | +130.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 28 | 16.9% | -3.5% | +125.9% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 1.8% | +21.4% | +162.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 6 | 5.2% | -7.5% | +104.8% |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2016 | 58 | 33.4% | -13.2% | +99.2% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2017 | 8 | 5.2% | -4.2% | +97.0% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 3 | 3.5% | +4.0% | +101.1% |
| Sep 2017 | Jan 2018 | 17 | 7.9% | -3.8% | +93.8% |
| Apr 2018 | Oct 2020 | 130 | 47.3% | -25.0% | +93.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2025 | 52 | 24.0% | +12.7% | +25.2% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.4% | N/A | +20.7% |
| Average | 32 | — | +0.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Bunge Global SA (BG) is currently 15.0% above its 200-week moving average of $92.35. It would need to fall to $92.35 to cross below the line.
What is BG's 200-week moving average price?
Bunge Global SA's 200-week moving average is $92.35 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BG drops below its 200-week moving average?
BG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +0.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is BG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BG as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 36. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 7.2%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.1 years, $100 invested in BG would have grown to $868, compared to $1270 for the S&P 500. That's 9.4% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. BG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BG pay a dividend?
Yes. Bunge Global SA currently pays a dividend yield of 274.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31