BG
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Bunge Global SA (BG) closed at $115.86 as of 2026-02-02, trading 29.4% above its 200-week moving average of $89.57. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 27.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, BG is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1231 weeks of data, BG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.4%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $22.4 billion, BG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.0%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Over the past 23.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BG would have grown to $935, compared to $1168 for the S&P 500. BG has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying BG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.6% after 12 months (median -3.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.8% vs +24.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BG has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 5.7% | +51.9% | +862.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2011 | 125 | 52.9% | -13.0% | +139.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 3 | 5.7% | -2.6% | +143.1% |
| Jun 2011 | Jul 2011 | 4 | 6.4% | -10.5% | +148.9% |
| Jul 2011 | Feb 2012 | 28 | 16.9% | -3.5% | +143.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 1.8% | +22.5% | +177.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 6 | 5.2% | -7.6% | +121.9% |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2016 | 58 | 33.4% | -13.2% | +114.7% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2017 | 8 | 5.2% | -4.2% | +112.3% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 3 | 3.5% | +4.0% | +116.8% |
| Sep 2017 | Jan 2018 | 17 | 8.2% | -3.8% | +108.9% |
| Apr 2018 | Sep 2018 | 21 | 9.6% | -25.0% | +108.5% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2020 | 107 | 47.3% | -13.3% | +115.5% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2025 | 52 | 23.9% | +12.7% | +34.9% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.3% | N/A | +30.1% |
| Average | 29 | — | +-0.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02