BF-B
Brown-Forman Corporation Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Investor Relations →
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) closed at $29.45 as of 2026-02-02, trading 39.2% below its 200-week moving average of $48.43. This places BF-B in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -43.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, BF-B has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BF-B at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.7%.
With a market cap of $13.6 billion, BF-B is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 20.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
BF-B is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 309.00%.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BF-B would have grown to $2111, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. BF-B has returned 9.6% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -18.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BF-B vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BF-B Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying BF-B when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.3% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +12.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +11.9% vs +26.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BF-B crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BF-B has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +23.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1983 | Sep 1983 | 5 | 9.1% | -0.4% | +10829.3% |
| Jan 1984 | Jan 1985 | 51 | 24.6% | +8.8% | +10140.5% |
| Mar 1985 | Mar 1985 | 1 | 3.2% | +69.3% | +9727.6% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 10.6% | +99.7% | +7075.2% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 7 | 20.1% | +36.5% | +790.4% |
| Jun 2000 | Oct 2000 | 14 | 7.8% | +21.5% | +747.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 2.0% | +33.6% | +631.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 25.2% | +5.9% | +221.7% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 0.9% | +31.3% | +194.2% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 2.0% | +40.6% | +197.7% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 1.2% | -15.3% | -50.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 2 | 2.1% | -11.9% | -52.3% |
| Feb 2023 | Jul 2023 | 22 | 8.0% | -11.8% | -51.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Ongoing | 128+ | 53.5% | Ongoing | -53.3% |
| Average | 21 | — | +23.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02