BCPC
Balchem Corporation Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Balchem Corporation (BCPC) closed at $167.05 as of 2026-09-18, trading 10.2% above its 200-week moving average of $151.56. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 8.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 2054 weeks of data, BCPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCPC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.3%.
With a market cap of $5.3 billion, BCPC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.5%. Return on equity stands at 12.8%. The stock trades at 4.1x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCPC would have grown to $38619, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.3% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming BCPC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 25% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BCPC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCPC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying BCPC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +51.8% after 12 months (median +64.0%), compared to +13.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 91% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +105.6% vs +27.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCPC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BCPC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BCPC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-20.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $153.08 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $163.33 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $175.05 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $188.59 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $204.39 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $1.43 | $1.49 | +4.6% |
| 2026-04-30 | $1.33 | $1.33 | — |
| 2026-02-20 | $1.29 | $1.31 | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-21 | $1.31 | $1.35 | +3.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BCPC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BCPC has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +47.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1987 | Dec 1990 | 173 | 62.9% | -56.3% | +42620.9% |
| May 1993 | Jun 1993 | 2 | 1.3% | +55.9% | +44312.3% |
| Jul 1993 | Aug 1993 | 1 | 1.1% | +57.0% | +43229.1% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 2 | 2.2% | +72.0% | +41213.8% |
| Dec 1993 | Jan 1994 | 3 | 7.6% | +57.0% | +40964.1% |
| Jan 1994 | Feb 1994 | 3 | 4.7% | +67.8% | +40030.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Nov 1999 | 57 | 32.1% | -0.4% | +15028.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.9% | +76.5% | +12472.1% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 1 | 0.3% | +92.9% | +12192.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 1.6% | +53.8% | +100.5% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 1.2% | +51.7% | +97.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 6.9% | +40.0% | +38.7% |
| Average | 21 | — | +47.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCPC below its 200-week moving average?
No. Balchem Corporation (BCPC) is currently 10.2% above its 200-week moving average of $151.56. It would need to fall to $151.56 to cross below the line.
What is BCPC's 200-week moving average price?
Balchem Corporation's 200-week moving average is $151.56 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BCPC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BCPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +47.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is BCPC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BCPC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 2.5%. Return on equity is 12.8%. Price-to-book is 4.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BCPC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in BCPC would have grown to $38619, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 19.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BCPC has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BCPC pay a dividend?
Yes. Balchem Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 58.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18