BCO
The Brink's Company Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →
The Brink's Company (BCO) closed at $97.67 as of 2026-06-19, trading 12.3% above its 200-week moving average of $86.95. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 17.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1541 weeks of data, BCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.6%.
With a market cap of $4.0 billion, BCO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 53.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 15.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 29.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCO would have grown to $799, compared to $1686 for the S&P 500. BCO has returned 7.3% annualized vs 10.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 13.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying BCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.2% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +19.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.2% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BCO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BCO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $92.94 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $98.46 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $104.67 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $111.71 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $119.77 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BCO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +5.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 3 | 10.4% | +55.4% | +841.1% |
| Feb 1997 | Mar 1997 | 6 | 6.4% | +42.9% | +770.4% |
| Oct 1998 | Feb 2002 | 173 | 61.4% | -35.3% | +676.9% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 8.3% | -27.1% | +959.1% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.1% | -12.3% | +972.0% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2003 | 52 | 36.6% | +2.9% | +1057.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 54.3% | -0.8% | +363.0% |
| Apr 2009 | Jan 2011 | 92 | 36.7% | -0.6% | +343.7% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 2.8% | -20.3% | +320.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 19.9% | -11.6% | +350.6% |
| Oct 2011 | Jan 2012 | 10 | 17.5% | -2.1% | +327.4% |
| Jan 2012 | Sep 2012 | 33 | 15.2% | +14.6% | +370.7% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | +3.4% | +353.0% |
| Apr 2014 | May 2014 | 5 | 5.7% | +7.6% | +338.0% |
| Sep 2014 | Feb 2015 | 23 | 20.8% | +5.0% | +319.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 45.2% | +30.9% | +65.1% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.5% | +3.7% | +52.4% |
| Sep 2021 | Feb 2023 | 74 | 27.7% | -19.1% | +59.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 7.0% | +32.8% | +57.5% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 3.1% | +42.9% | +60.9% |
| Average | 28 | — | +5.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCO below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Brink's Company (BCO) is currently 12.3% above its 200-week moving average of $86.95. It would need to fall to $86.95 to cross below the line.
What is BCO's 200-week moving average price?
The Brink's Company's 200-week moving average is $86.95 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BCO drops below its 200-week moving average?
BCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is BCO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BCO as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 10.9%. Return on equity is 53.0%. Price-to-book is 15.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BCO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.6 years, $100 invested in BCO would have grown to $799, compared to $1686 for the S&P 500. That's 7.3% annualized vs 10.0% for the index. BCO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19