BCO
The Brink's Company Industrials - Security & Protection Services Investor Relations →
The Brink's Company (BCO) closed at $130.91 as of 2026-02-02, trading 59.3% above its 200-week moving average of $82.19. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 54.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, BCO is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1522 weeks of data, BCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.6%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, BCO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 44.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 20.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 29.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCO would have grown to $1068, compared to $1551 for the S&P 500. BCO has returned 8.4% annualized vs 9.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -13.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BCO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying BCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.2% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +19.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.2% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +5.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1996 | Dec 1996 | 3 | 10.4% | +55.4% | +1158.3% |
| Feb 1997 | Mar 1997 | 6 | 6.4% | +42.9% | +1063.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Feb 2002 | 173 | 61.4% | -35.3% | +938.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 8.3% | -27.1% | +1316.1% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 0.1% | -12.3% | +1333.3% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2003 | 52 | 36.6% | +2.9% | +1447.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 54.3% | -0.8% | +519.0% |
| Apr 2009 | Jan 2011 | 92 | 36.7% | -0.6% | +493.3% |
| May 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 2.8% | -20.3% | +462.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 19.9% | -11.6% | +502.5% |
| Oct 2011 | Jan 2012 | 10 | 17.5% | -2.1% | +471.5% |
| Jan 2012 | Sep 2012 | 33 | 15.2% | +14.6% | +529.4% |
| Apr 2013 | Apr 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | +3.4% | +505.7% |
| Apr 2014 | May 2014 | 5 | 5.7% | +7.6% | +485.6% |
| Sep 2014 | Feb 2015 | 23 | 20.8% | +5.0% | +460.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 45.2% | +30.9% | +120.8% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.5% | +3.7% | +103.8% |
| Sep 2021 | Feb 2023 | 74 | 27.7% | -19.1% | +113.0% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 7.0% | +32.8% | +110.6% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 3.1% | +42.9% | +115.1% |
| Average | 28 | — | +5.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02