BCE
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BCE Inc. (BCE) closed at $25.79 as of 2026-03-20, trading 13.1% below its 200-week moving average of $29.69. This places BCE in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -15.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.71 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2213 weeks of data, BCE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.8%.
With a market cap of $24.1 billion, BCE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 32.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Share count has increased 2.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCE would have grown to $3801, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.6% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming BCE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BCE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying BCE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.2% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.7% vs +33.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BCE has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +38.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1984 | May 1984 | 1 | 0.6% | +40.8% | +8933.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 9 | 4.4% | +20.7% | +7086.7% |
| Jan 1995 | Mar 1995 | 9 | 5.4% | +27.9% | +3689.1% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 38.8% | +344.0% | +1611.2% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 7 | 13.6% | +35.9% | +512.5% |
| Jun 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 3.5% | +37.9% | +426.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Jan 2003 | 25 | 15.0% | +39.0% | +447.4% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 4.3% | +24.8% | +374.1% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 2 | 1.2% | +22.3% | +321.3% |
| Jun 2004 | Jun 2004 | 1 | 3.7% | +31.0% | +335.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 2.5% | -4.6% | +145.7% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2009 | 57 | 39.7% | +1.6% | +153.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 3 | 4.0% | +45.0% | +143.8% |
| Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | 7 | 4.6% | +18.1% | +21.1% |
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.0% | +19.3% | +2.8% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 2 | 1.7% | +25.0% | +3.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 4 | 2.6% | +26.2% | +2.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 1.8% | +21.8% | +2.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 11.8% | +18.5% | -4.1% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 5 | 4.5% | +23.2% | -4.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 0.7% | -3.0% | -20.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Ongoing | 138+ | 40.1% | Ongoing | -24.4% |
| Average | 14 | — | +38.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, BCE Inc. (BCE) is trading 13.1% below its 200-week moving average of $29.69. The current price is $25.79.
What is BCE's 200-week moving average price?
BCE Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $29.69 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BCE drops below its 200-week moving average?
BCE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is BCE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BCE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 13.8%. Return on equity is 32.0%. Price-to-book is 1.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BCE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in BCE would have grown to $3801, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 11.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. BCE has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BCE pay a dividend?
Yes. BCE Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 496.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20