BCE
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BCE Inc. (BCE) closed at $25.08 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.9% below its 200-week moving average of $30.54. This places BCE in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -15.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2207 weeks of data, BCE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.8%.
With a market cap of $23.4 billion, BCE is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 31.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCE would have grown to $3650, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BCE as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: BCE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying BCE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.2% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +17.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.7% vs +33.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BCE has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +38.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1984 | May 1984 | 1 | 0.6% | +40.8% | +8575.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 9 | 4.4% | +20.7% | +6801.6% |
| Jan 1995 | Mar 1995 | 9 | 5.4% | +27.9% | +3538.8% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 38.8% | +344.0% | +1543.3% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 7 | 13.6% | +35.9% | +488.2% |
| Jun 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 3.5% | +37.9% | +405.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jan 2003 | 25 | 15.0% | +39.0% | +425.7% |
| Feb 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 4.3% | +24.8% | +355.3% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 2 | 1.2% | +22.3% | +304.6% |
| Jun 2004 | Jun 2004 | 1 | 3.7% | +31.0% | +318.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 2.5% | -4.6% | +135.9% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2009 | 57 | 39.7% | +1.6% | +143.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 3 | 4.0% | +45.0% | +134.2% |
| Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | 7 | 4.6% | +18.1% | +16.3% |
| Aug 2018 | Aug 2018 | 1 | 0.0% | +19.3% | -1.3% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 2 | 1.7% | +25.0% | -0.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 4 | 2.6% | +26.2% | -1.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 1.8% | +21.8% | -1.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 11.8% | +18.5% | -7.9% |
| Apr 2020 | May 2020 | 5 | 4.5% | +23.2% | -8.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 0.7% | -3.0% | -23.7% |
| Jul 2023 | Ongoing | 132+ | 40.1% | Ongoing | -27.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +38.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02