BCC
Boise Cascade Company Basic Materials - Lumber & Wood Production Investor Relations →
Boise Cascade Company (BCC) closed at $78.13 as of 2026-05-01, trading 15.3% below its 200-week moving average of $92.23. This places BCC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -8.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 642 weeks of data, BCC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.1%.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, BCC is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.3%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 12.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCC would have grown to $383, compared to $497 for the S&P 500. BCC has returned 11.5% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -76.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BCC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying BCC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +23.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.4% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BCC has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +59.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | Jun 2014 | 11 | 13.4% | +34.3% | +323.6% |
| Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 2 | 6.0% | +31.4% | +348.4% |
| Sep 2015 | Apr 2017 | 81 | 53.3% | -16.4% | +300.7% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 2 | 4.3% | +67.5% | +332.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Aug 2019 | 41 | 24.8% | +19.3% | +271.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 31.5% | +130.4% | +302.5% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 2.8% | +147.0% | +267.6% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 5 | 1.9% | N/A | -8.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Ongoing | 42+ | 25.5% | Ongoing | -6.1% |
| Average | 21 | — | +59.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BCC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Boise Cascade Company (BCC) is trading 15.3% below its 200-week moving average of $92.23. The current price is $78.13.
What is BCC's 200-week moving average price?
Boise Cascade Company's 200-week moving average is $92.23 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BCC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BCC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +59.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is BCC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BCC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 6.3%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BCC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12.3 years, $100 invested in BCC would have grown to $383, compared to $497 for the S&P 500. That's 11.5% annualized vs 13.9% for the index. BCC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BCC pay a dividend?
Yes. Boise Cascade Company currently pays a dividend yield of 113.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01