BCC
Boise Cascade Company Basic Materials - Lumber & Wood Production Investor Relations →
Boise Cascade Company (BCC) closed at $91.03 as of 2026-02-02, trading 0.4% below its 200-week moving average of $91.43. This places BCC in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -11.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, BCC is in overbought territory.
Over the past 630 weeks of data, BCC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BCC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +59.1%.
With a market cap of $3.4 billion, BCC is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.0%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 12.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BCC would have grown to $445, compared to $476 for the S&P 500. BCC has returned 13.1% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -28.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BCC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BCC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying BCC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +23.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +66.4% vs +33.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BCC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BCC has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +59.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2014 | Jun 2014 | 11 | 13.4% | +34.3% | +392.3% |
| Jul 2014 | Jul 2014 | 2 | 6.0% | +31.4% | +421.0% |
| Sep 2015 | Apr 2017 | 81 | 53.3% | -16.4% | +365.6% |
| May 2017 | May 2017 | 2 | 4.3% | +67.5% | +402.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Aug 2019 | 41 | 24.8% | +19.3% | +332.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 7 | 31.5% | +130.4% | +367.7% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 2.8% | +147.0% | +327.1% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 5 | 1.9% | N/A | +6.0% |
| Jul 2025 | Ongoing | 30+ | 23.9% | Ongoing | +9.1% |
| Average | 20 | — | +59.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02