BC
Brunswick Corporation Consumer Cyclical - Recreational Vehicles Investor Relations →
Brunswick Corporation (BC) closed at $67.55 as of 2026-09-18, trading 6.2% below its 200-week moving average of $72.04. This places BC in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 30, BC is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2285 weeks of data, BC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.5%.
With a market cap of $4.4 billion, BC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -4.8%. The stock trades at 2.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BC would have grown to $750, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. BC has returned 6.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying BC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.7% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +14.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.4% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-22.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $70.64 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $76.12 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $82.52 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $90.09 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $99.19 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $1.19 | $1.56 | +31.0% |
| 2026-04-30 | $0.45 | $0.70 | +54.3% |
| 2026-01-29 | $0.57 | $0.58 | +2.0% |
| 2025-10-23 | $0.87 | $0.97 | +11.4% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BC has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +14.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 1 | 13.9% | +49.2% | +1086.7% |
| Mar 1989 | Mar 1989 | 1 | 0.2% | -14.6% | +690.7% |
| Jun 1989 | Jan 1992 | 134 | 61.1% | -24.0% | +658.3% |
| Jul 1992 | Sep 1992 | 7 | 6.5% | +9.1% | +821.5% |
| Sep 1992 | Oct 1992 | 5 | 7.7% | +14.7% | +805.2% |
| Jun 1993 | Jul 1993 | 4 | 1.9% | +83.7% | +819.6% |
| Jun 1998 | Dec 1998 | 28 | 45.8% | +7.8% | +342.3% |
| Jan 1999 | Jan 1999 | 1 | 3.3% | -5.4% | +353.1% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 16 | 20.2% | -17.0% | +360.6% |
| Jun 1999 | Jun 1999 | 1 | 0.5% | -19.7% | +332.8% |
| Oct 1999 | May 2001 | 84 | 35.6% | -22.4% | +329.8% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 1 | 3.6% | +11.8% | +371.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 28.6% | +17.5% | +373.9% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 7 | 8.0% | +40.6% | +397.3% |
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2003 | 19 | 12.3% | +47.8% | +360.7% |
| Jun 2006 | Apr 2010 | 201 | 92.2% | +0.8% | +165.0% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 8 | 23.9% | +19.3% | +418.6% |
| Aug 2010 | Oct 2010 | 8 | 15.2% | +10.2% | +469.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 1 | 4.1% | +49.3% | +114.7% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 0.8% | +54.1% | +106.0% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 3.0% | +17.2% | +86.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 3 | 4.4% | +18.3% | +55.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 11 | 18.1% | +22.7% | +58.2% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 5 | 5.3% | -4.2% | +50.7% |
| Apr 2019 | Sep 2019 | 20 | 20.7% | -12.8% | +54.8% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 1.0% | +15.5% | +49.5% |
| Feb 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 49.7% | +68.7% | +44.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 6.3% | +36.8% | +16.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 5.4% | +19.7% | +10.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 10.9% | +13.3% | -2.4% |
| May 2024 | Sep 2024 | 17 | 14.4% | -35.7% | -10.2% |
| Oct 2024 | Dec 2025 | 59 | 43.8% | -8.5% | -12.1% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 4 | 3.2% | N/A | -3.3% |
| Sep 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 6.2% | Ongoing | -4.5% |
| Average | 20 | — | +14.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Brunswick Corporation (BC) is trading 6.2% below its 200-week moving average of $72.04. The current price is $67.55.
What is BC's 200-week moving average price?
Brunswick Corporation's 200-week moving average is $72.04 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BC drops below its 200-week moving average?
BC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is BC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BC as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 30 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 8.4%. Return on equity is -4.8%. Price-to-book is 2.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in BC would have grown to $750, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 6.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BC pay a dividend?
Yes. Brunswick Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 259.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18