BBY

Best Buy Co. Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Electronics Retail Investor Relations →

YES
0.8% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -8.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $70.96
14-Week RSI 33

Best Buy Co. Inc. (BBY) closed at $70.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 0.8% below its 200-week moving average of $70.96. This places BBY in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -8.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2081 weeks of data, BBY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BBY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.1%.

With a market cap of $14.8 billion, BBY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.7%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 22.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.6x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.0% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BBY would have grown to $8502, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.3% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BBY as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -17.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: BBY vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BBY Crosses Below the Line?

Across 22 historical episodes, buying BBY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.3% after 12 months (median -18.0%), compared to +6.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.3% vs +18.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BBY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BBY has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +13.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1987Jun 198784.3%-31.0%+27446.8%
Oct 1987Aug 19884249.4%-15.2%+34769.3%
Sep 1988Jun 19908951.9%-39.0%+35675.1%
Jul 1990Apr 19913550.5%+112.7%+34769.3%
Nov 1995May 19962635.6%-37.4%+5533.3%
Jul 1996Sep 19976263.4%-34.4%+5117.2%
Nov 2000Jan 2001837.6%+83.4%+771.2%
Mar 2001Apr 200116.8%+120.2%+698.0%
Sep 2001Oct 200124.1%-17.1%+561.2%
Jun 2002May 20034951.1%+19.9%+420.8%
Sep 2007Sep 200710.3%+6.1%+187.9%
Feb 2008Apr 2008910.2%-35.9%+177.4%
May 2008Nov 20098060.6%-8.1%+191.7%
Dec 2009Mar 20101414.0%-12.0%+202.4%
May 2010Sep 20101619.9%-19.9%+205.2%
Dec 2010Jun 201313261.2%-30.9%+243.6%
Jan 2014May 20141813.1%+46.6%+341.0%
Jan 2016Jan 201620.8%+69.1%+273.5%
Mar 2020Apr 2020312.7%+135.0%+73.3%
May 2022May 202410625.0%+2.2%+16.4%
Jul 2024Jul 202410.2%-8.4%-8.2%
Jul 2024Aug 202410.2%-18.4%-8.1%
Mar 2025Sep 20252622.7%N/A-6.6%
Sep 2025Sep 202512.1%N/AN/A
Oct 2025Oct 202513.0%N/A+1.3%
Dec 2025Ongoing8+8.3%Ongoing-0.7%
Average28+13.1%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02