BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Consumer Cyclical Investor Relations →
Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) closed at $27.58 as of 2026-09-11, trading 18.8% below its 200-week moving average of $33.97. This places BBW in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -13.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.53 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1093 weeks of data, BBW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 46 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -28.9%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $340 million, BBW is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 32.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 21 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BBW would have grown to $131, compared to $931 for the S&P 500. BBW has returned 1.3% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BBW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BBW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying BBW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -28.1% after 12 months (median -19.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -53.2% vs -0.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BBW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BBW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BBW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-07-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $27.13 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $29.49 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $32.31 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $35.71 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $39.92 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | $0.63 | $0.70 | +11.7% |
| 2026-05-28 | $0.75 | $1.03 | +37.3% |
| 2026-03-12 | $1.22 | $1.26 | +3.3% |
| 2025-12-04 | $0.59 | $0.62 | +5.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BBW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BBW has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +-28.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 6 | 17.1% | +1.7% | +44.2% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 2.2% | -0.1% | +21.4% |
| Jun 2006 | Oct 2006 | 19 | 28.9% | +11.2% | +21.7% |
| Dec 2006 | Dec 2006 | 1 | 3.7% | -43.0% | +25.6% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 2 | 4.8% | -55.5% | +26.6% |
| Apr 2007 | Apr 2007 | 2 | 2.8% | -68.2% | +24.0% |
| Jun 2007 | Oct 2011 | 228 | 82.8% | -62.2% | +45.4% |
| Feb 2012 | Apr 2013 | 63 | 42.3% | -16.1% | +454.3% |
| Aug 2016 | Oct 2016 | 10 | 16.1% | -27.8% | +174.1% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2021 | 214 | 87.2% | -28.9% | +176.4% |
| Jun 2026 | Jul 2026 | 4 | 4.6% | N/A | -13.6% |
| Aug 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 18.8% | Ongoing | -7.6% |
| Average | 46 | — | +-28.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBW below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) is trading 18.8% below its 200-week moving average of $33.97. The current price is $27.58.
What is BBW's 200-week moving average price?
Build-A-Bear Workshop's 200-week moving average is $33.97 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BBW drops below its 200-week moving average?
BBW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -28.9%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 46 weeks on average.
Is BBW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BBW as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 37. Return on equity is 32.8%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BBW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21 years, $100 invested in BBW would have grown to $131, compared to $931 for the S&P 500. That's 1.3% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. BBW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BBW pay a dividend?
Yes. Build-A-Bear Workshop currently pays a dividend yield of 326.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11