BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop Consumer Cyclical Investor Relations →
Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) closed at $32.37 as of 2026-06-19, trading 1.9% below its 200-week moving average of $32.99. This places BBW in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -2.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.24 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1081 weeks of data, BBW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -28.9%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $406 million, BBW is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 35.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BBW would have grown to $153, compared to $910 for the S&P 500. BBW has returned 2.1% annualized vs 11.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 5.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BBW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BBW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying BBW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -28.1% after 12 months (median -19.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -53.2% vs -0.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BBW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BBW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BBW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $31.25 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $37.92 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $48.20 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $66.14 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $105.34 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BBW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BBW has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-28.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 6 | 17.1% | +1.7% | +68.0% |
| Mar 2006 | Mar 2006 | 1 | 2.2% | -0.1% | +41.5% |
| Jun 2006 | Oct 2006 | 19 | 28.9% | +11.2% | +41.8% |
| Dec 2006 | Dec 2006 | 1 | 3.7% | -43.0% | +46.4% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 2 | 4.8% | -55.5% | +47.5% |
| Apr 2007 | Apr 2007 | 2 | 2.8% | -68.2% | +44.5% |
| Jun 2007 | Oct 2011 | 228 | 82.8% | -62.2% | +69.4% |
| Feb 2012 | Apr 2013 | 63 | 42.3% | -16.1% | +545.9% |
| Aug 2016 | Oct 2016 | 10 | 16.1% | -27.8% | +219.5% |
| Jan 2017 | Feb 2021 | 214 | 87.2% | -28.9% | +222.1% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 2.4% | Ongoing | +0.7% |
| Average | 50 | — | +-28.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BBW below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) is trading 1.9% below its 200-week moving average of $32.99. The current price is $32.37.
What is BBW's 200-week moving average price?
Build-A-Bear Workshop's 200-week moving average is $32.99 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BBW drops below its 200-week moving average?
BBW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -28.9%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 50 weeks on average.
Is BBW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BBW as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 35.9%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BBW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.8 years, $100 invested in BBW would have grown to $153, compared to $910 for the S&P 500. That's 2.1% annualized vs 11.2% for the index. BBW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BBW pay a dividend?
Yes. Build-A-Bear Workshop currently pays a dividend yield of 283.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19