BANF
BancFirst Corporation Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
BancFirst Corporation (BANF) closed at $111.31 as of 2026-06-19, trading 11.6% above its 200-week moving average of $99.77. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 16.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 2.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1842 weeks of data, BANF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BANF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.6%.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, BANF is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.8%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BANF would have grown to $5162, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming BANF as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 4.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BANF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BANF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying BANF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.2% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +9.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.0% vs +24.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BANF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices BANF would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where BANF's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-16.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $105.63 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $109.14 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $112.89 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $116.90 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $121.22 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BANF's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BANF has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +22.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2000 | Oct 2000 | 38 | 21.9% | +38.1% | +2470.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 2.1% | +46.1% | +2055.0% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 1 | 3.1% | +45.2% | +2072.9% |
| Nov 2001 | Dec 2001 | 3 | 1.7% | +46.9% | +2036.8% |
| Dec 2001 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 1.0% | +36.2% | +2018.0% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 3.4% | -8.2% | +686.8% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2010 | 59 | 30.8% | -11.3% | +667.3% |
| Mar 2010 | Apr 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | +5.0% | +656.6% |
| May 2010 | Oct 2010 | 23 | 13.4% | +1.2% | +677.8% |
| May 2011 | Jan 2012 | 34 | 18.8% | +4.3% | +678.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 3.1% | +15.3% | +692.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 36 | 40.1% | +52.6% | +169.2% |
| Average | 17 | — | +22.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BANF below its 200-week moving average?
No. BancFirst Corporation (BANF) is currently 11.6% above its 200-week moving average of $99.77. It would need to fall to $99.77 to cross below the line.
What is BANF's 200-week moving average price?
BancFirst Corporation's 200-week moving average is $99.77 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BANF drops below its 200-week moving average?
BANF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is BANF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BANF as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Return on equity is 13.8%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BANF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in BANF would have grown to $5162, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 12.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BANF has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does BANF pay a dividend?
Yes. BancFirst Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 172.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19