BANC

Banc of California, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
45.1% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 39.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $14.37
14-Week RSI 80

Banc of California, Inc. (BANC) closed at $20.85 as of 2026-02-02, trading 45.1% above its 200-week moving average of $14.37. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 39.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, BANC is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1176 weeks of data, BANC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BANC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.2%.

With a market cap of $3.2 billion, BANC is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.0%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Share count has increased 169.1% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 22.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BANC would have grown to $194, compared to $1053 for the S&P 500. BANC has returned 3.0% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -47.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: BANC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After BANC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 13 historical episodes, buying BANC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.2% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +9.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -2.6% vs +14.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BANC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

BANC has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +2.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 2007Jun 200722.6%-36.1%+53.9%
Jul 2007Oct 20071213.1%-49.1%+50.1%
Oct 2007Nov 201016372.1%-53.5%+50.8%
May 2014Jul 20141114.5%+39.0%+182.9%
Sep 2014Mar 20152310.3%+10.6%+137.6%
Oct 2016Oct 201611.8%+75.8%+103.8%
Oct 2018Nov 201828.9%-5.7%+62.1%
Dec 2018Jan 202110961.0%+7.2%+58.3%
Dec 2022Dec 202213.6%-3.7%+52.6%
Mar 2023Oct 20248534.2%+1.5%+50.2%
Jan 2025Jan 202511.5%+38.6%+44.0%
Feb 2025Jun 20251917.2%N/A+42.7%
Jul 2025Aug 202522.8%N/A+48.9%
Average33+2.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02