BALL
Ball Corporation Materials - Packaging Investor Relations →
Ball Corporation (BALL) closed at $66.47 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.6% above its 200-week moving average of $56.02. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 1.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 89, BALL is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2715 weeks of data, BALL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BALL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $18.1 billion, BALL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 16.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BALL would have grown to $5047, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.6% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming BALL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: BALL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BALL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying BALL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.6% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +13.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.1% vs +37.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BALL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
BALL has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Dec 1974 | 48 | 22.9% | +4.2% | +77480.3% |
| May 1979 | May 1979 | 1 | 0.1% | +6.0% | +44765.6% |
| Mar 1980 | Apr 1980 | 6 | 7.9% | +31.2% | +42950.2% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 2 | 2.2% | +3.1% | +7365.0% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 3 | 3.3% | -5.7% | +7396.8% |
| May 1988 | Jul 1989 | 65 | 20.8% | +4.7% | +7812.1% |
| Sep 1989 | Dec 1989 | 14 | 14.7% | -4.8% | +6491.3% |
| Jan 1990 | Apr 1990 | 10 | 11.2% | -12.5% | +6590.2% |
| Apr 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 2.4% | -7.3% | +6497.0% |
| May 1990 | Jun 1990 | 5 | 3.4% | -4.9% | +6551.0% |
| Aug 1990 | May 1991 | 42 | 12.9% | +18.0% | +6517.8% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 2 | 2.8% | +24.8% | +6435.3% |
| Oct 1993 | Nov 1993 | 2 | 3.0% | +11.2% | +5919.7% |
| Jan 1994 | Apr 1994 | 13 | 6.0% | +16.7% | +5740.8% |
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1994 | 6 | 6.8% | +37.5% | +5789.8% |
| Sep 1994 | Sep 1994 | 1 | 1.7% | +31.8% | +5646.7% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 6 | 8.6% | -14.6% | +5189.1% |
| Dec 1995 | Jan 1996 | 7 | 8.7% | -3.0% | +5458.4% |
| May 1996 | May 1997 | 53 | 17.0% | -0.3% | +5158.9% |
| Sep 1998 | Sep 1998 | 1 | 3.2% | +62.0% | +4711.1% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 8 | 22.8% | +27.5% | +4161.7% |
| Apr 2000 | Nov 2000 | 30 | 14.4% | +46.4% | +4058.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2009 | 27 | 31.2% | +21.6% | +643.1% |
| Apr 2009 | Jun 2009 | 6 | 11.4% | +38.5% | +675.6% |
| Jun 2009 | Jun 2009 | 2 | 2.3% | +32.6% | +644.2% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 2 | 2.0% | +88.4% | +101.1% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 3 | 5.7% | -17.4% | -2.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Jan 2026 | 189 | 38.5% | -22.1% | +2.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +14.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02