BA
The Boeing Company Industrials - Aerospace Investor Relations →
The Boeing Company (BA) closed at $222.72 as of 2026-06-19, trading 13.4% above its 200-week moving average of $196.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 11.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 3315 weeks of data, BA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought BA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.1%.
With a market cap of $175.6 billion, BA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.4%. Return on equity stands at 169.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 29.3x book value.
Share count has increased 31.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in BA would have grown to $2199, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. BA has returned 9.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: BA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After BA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying BA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.3% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.4% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment BA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. BA currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from BA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
BA has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1962 | Nov 1963 | 50 | 20.3% | +0.1% | +145111.8% |
| Dec 1963 | Jan 1964 | 6 | 4.0% | +98.2% | +144933.1% |
| Jul 1968 | Nov 1972 | 226 | 77.7% | -41.4% | +37653.5% |
| Jan 1973 | Jan 1973 | 1 | 1.4% | -41.0% | +96506.1% |
| Feb 1973 | Oct 1973 | 32 | 17.1% | -33.9% | +98297.3% |
| Oct 1973 | Aug 1974 | 42 | 36.6% | -4.8% | +112124.8% |
| Aug 1974 | Nov 1974 | 10 | 14.4% | +69.0% | +117772.8% |
| Dec 1974 | Feb 1975 | 12 | 15.7% | +42.2% | +122050.6% |
| Jul 1981 | Oct 1982 | 65 | 44.9% | -35.6% | +12956.0% |
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 14 | 19.5% | +73.9% | +4873.4% |
| Jun 1992 | Dec 1993 | 77 | 19.3% | -1.8% | +1863.7% |
| Jul 1998 | Jun 1999 | 47 | 25.1% | +17.3% | +773.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 0.4% | +25.2% | +690.1% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 5 | 5.1% | +32.1% | +693.4% |
| Nov 1999 | Jan 2000 | 11 | 13.6% | +51.1% | +681.1% |
| Jan 2000 | Jul 2000 | 23 | 26.9% | +30.8% | +684.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Feb 2002 | 23 | 34.5% | -16.2% | +648.0% |
| Apr 2002 | Jun 2002 | 10 | 6.8% | -36.5% | +683.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Dec 2003 | 77 | 41.7% | -10.5% | +730.8% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 2 | 0.6% | +21.6% | +672.9% |
| Mar 2004 | Apr 2004 | 6 | 6.6% | +45.1% | +699.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Jun 2008 | 1 | 1.3% | -25.6% | +311.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Mar 2010 | 88 | 58.6% | -35.3% | +349.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 4 | 6.9% | +22.9% | +337.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 5.6% | +22.7% | +355.7% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 7 | 2.8% | -3.1% | +332.7% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 2 | 1.2% | +8.0% | +342.0% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 3.6% | +30.8% | +376.1% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.3% | +58.2% | +128.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2023 | 170 | 64.8% | -14.9% | -15.1% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 3.0% | -14.0% | +8.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 8 | 9.7% | -22.5% | +12.6% |
| Mar 2024 | May 2025 | 60 | 28.5% | -11.4% | +22.0% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 4.3% | N/A | +23.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 0.7% | N/A | +16.9% |
| Average | 31 | — | +9.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BA below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Boeing Company (BA) is currently 13.4% above its 200-week moving average of $196.39. It would need to fall to $196.39 to cross below the line.
What is BA's 200-week moving average price?
The Boeing Company's 200-week moving average is $196.39 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when BA drops below its 200-week moving average?
BA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is BA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about BA as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 1.4%. Return on equity is 169.9%. Price-to-book is 29.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does BA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in BA would have grown to $2199, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. BA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19