AZZ
AZZ Inc. Industrials - Specialty Business Services Investor Relations →
AZZ Inc. (AZZ) closed at $157.18 as of 2026-06-19, trading 105.5% above its 200-week moving average of $76.47. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 98.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, AZZ is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, AZZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AZZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.2%.
With a market cap of $4.7 billion, AZZ is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 26.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.5x book value.
Share count has increased 19.9% over three years, indicating dilution. AZZ passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AZZ would have grown to $29549, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.5% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming AZZ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AZZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AZZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying AZZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.3% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +14.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +60.6% vs +25.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AZZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AZZ would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AZZ's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-08.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $114.96 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $128.25 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $145.03 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $166.85 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $196.40 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AZZ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AZZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +10.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | May 1987 | 305 | 65.0% | -61.6% | +4749.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 2 | 17.5% | +5.4% | +22445.4% |
| Nov 1987 | Feb 1988 | 13 | 12.2% | -11.6% | +19299.6% |
| Sep 1988 | Jan 1989 | 16 | 17.2% | -26.8% | +20245.9% |
| Jan 1989 | Dec 1989 | 44 | 27.3% | -11.8% | +20245.9% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 6 | 19.5% | -6.2% | +20669.4% |
| Mar 1990 | Mar 1990 | 2 | 5.9% | +20.6% | +20669.4% |
| Apr 1990 | Jun 1990 | 9 | 17.9% | -5.8% | +20068.6% |
| Jul 1990 | Jul 1990 | 3 | 9.0% | -14.6% | +21004.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 3 | 7.8% | -17.5% | +19041.1% |
| Sep 1990 | Feb 1991 | 22 | 20.6% | +0.9% | +23653.7% |
| Mar 1991 | May 1993 | 112 | 43.8% | -26.4% | +18794.4% |
| Jul 1993 | Jul 1993 | 1 | 2.0% | +50.5% | +24484.5% |
| Apr 1995 | Dec 1995 | 34 | 17.5% | +45.8% | +23446.3% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 9.4% | +30.0% | +10360.6% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 1 | 3.1% | +6.5% | +9396.2% |
| Jan 1999 | Apr 1999 | 13 | 15.3% | +21.9% | +9198.3% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.8% | +54.4% | +8640.2% |
| Oct 1999 | Dec 1999 | 11 | 12.1% | +83.0% | +7947.4% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 4 | 5.3% | +76.5% | +7898.6% |
| Jul 2002 | Feb 2004 | 81 | 44.6% | -22.7% | +5639.2% |
| Feb 2004 | Mar 2004 | 6 | 1.7% | +3.0% | +5115.4% |
| May 2004 | Jun 2004 | 8 | 5.2% | -3.3% | +5081.9% |
| Jul 2004 | Dec 2004 | 22 | 13.7% | +13.9% | +5048.8% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 3 | 23.6% | +104.1% | +2356.7% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 4 | 24.2% | +47.3% | +1810.3% |
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 1 | 4.0% | +10.8% | +267.3% |
| Jul 2017 | Sep 2017 | 7 | 6.3% | +8.4% | +252.6% |
| Sep 2017 | Dec 2017 | 12 | 12.3% | +5.2% | +263.8% |
| Jan 2018 | Jul 2018 | 26 | 18.5% | -18.1% | +248.5% |
| Sep 2018 | Nov 2020 | 113 | 47.2% | -13.9% | +245.9% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | -14.8% | +278.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 8 | 8.3% | -5.5% | +289.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Jul 2023 | 45 | 20.6% | +18.6% | +290.2% |
| Average | 28 | — | +10.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AZZ below its 200-week moving average?
No. AZZ Inc. (AZZ) is currently 105.5% above its 200-week moving average of $76.47. It would need to fall to $76.47 to cross below the line.
What is AZZ's 200-week moving average price?
AZZ Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $76.47 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AZZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
AZZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is AZZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AZZ as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 75 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.4%. Return on equity is 26.6%. Price-to-book is 3.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AZZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in AZZ would have grown to $29549, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 18.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. AZZ has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AZZ pay a dividend?
Yes. AZZ Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 52.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19