AXTI
AXT, Inc. Technology - Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Investor Relations →
AXT, Inc. (AXTI) closed at $54.24 as of 2026-03-20, trading 904.0% above its 200-week moving average of $5.40. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 847.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, AXTI is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.18 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1404 weeks of data, AXTI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 58 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -1.9%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.0 billion, AXTI is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at -7.9%. The stock trades at 9.0x book value.
Share count has increased 5.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AXTI would have grown to $240, compared to $781 for the S&P 500. AXTI has returned 3.3% annualized vs 7.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AXTI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AXTI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying AXTI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.3% after 12 months (median -30.0%), compared to +1.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 36% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.9% vs +11.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AXTI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AXTI has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +-1.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1999 | Nov 1999 | 3 | 22.6% | +162.8% | +319.2% |
| Nov 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 11.8% | +117.0% | +269.3% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 3 | 9.8% | +158.2% | +232.5% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2001 | 7 | 39.6% | -60.8% | +126.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 4 | 9.7% | -63.6% | +138.7% |
| Jul 2001 | Feb 2006 | 238 | 96.5% | -68.7% | +136.2% |
| Aug 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 3.5% | -47.3% | +1524.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2010 | 84 | 80.1% | -33.0% | +1621.9% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 7 | 14.9% | -35.2% | +1173.2% |
| Apr 2012 | May 2016 | 209 | 54.7% | -30.5% | +1236.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Apr 2019 | 20 | 24.3% | -36.4% | +978.3% |
| May 2019 | Sep 2020 | 73 | 59.2% | +1.5% | +898.9% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 14 | 20.3% | -39.2% | +756.9% |
| Oct 2022 | Sep 2025 | 154 | 75.7% | -51.5% | +957.3% |
| Average | 58 | — | +-1.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AXTI below its 200-week moving average?
No. AXT, Inc. (AXTI) is currently 904.0% above its 200-week moving average of $5.40. It would need to fall to $5.40 to cross below the line.
What is AXTI's 200-week moving average price?
AXT, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $5.40 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AXTI drops below its 200-week moving average?
AXTI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -1.9%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 58 weeks on average.
Is AXTI a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AXTI as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Return on equity is -7.9%. Price-to-book is 9.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AXTI compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27 years, $100 invested in AXTI would have grown to $240, compared to $781 for the S&P 500. That's 3.3% annualized vs 7.9% for the index. AXTI has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20