AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) closed at $33.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.9% above its 200-week moving average of $30.75. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 9.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, AXTA is in overbought territory.
Over the past 538 weeks of data, AXTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AXTA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.3%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, AXTA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.3%. Return on equity stands at 21.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Over the past 10.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AXTA would have grown to $122, compared to $394 for the S&P 500. AXTA has returned 2.0% annualized vs 14.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -0.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AXTA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AXTA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying AXTA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.1% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +15.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.2% vs +34.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AXTA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AXTA has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +3.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2015 | Mar 2016 | 20 | 19.3% | -9.4% | +22.4% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 11 | 7.6% | +10.6% | +19.8% |
| Aug 2016 | Aug 2016 | 2 | 0.8% | +2.6% | +20.8% |
| Sep 2016 | Jan 2017 | 18 | 12.6% | +1.0% | +20.1% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 1 | 1.4% | +7.5% | +19.7% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | 0.7% | +3.3% | +18.8% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 1.4% | -9.6% | +19.6% |
| Sep 2018 | Jun 2019 | 40 | 24.2% | +7.4% | +15.7% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 4 | 6.6% | -22.5% | +18.0% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 2 | 2.9% | +0.5% | +20.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 2 | 0.7% | -4.4% | +17.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 48.8% | -1.9% | +16.5% |
| Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 6 | 3.5% | +9.9% | +22.6% |
| Feb 2022 | Jan 2023 | 45 | 22.3% | +26.2% | +37.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 8 | 7.1% | +28.0% | +25.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 2.8% | N/A | +13.7% |
| Jun 2025 | Aug 2025 | 10 | 9.1% | N/A | +17.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 12 | 13.5% | N/A | +11.7% |
| Average | 12 | — | +3.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02