AXTA
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) closed at $25.44 as of 2026-03-20, trading 17.7% below its 200-week moving average of $30.92. This places AXTA in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -10.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 27, AXTA is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.05 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 544 weeks of data, AXTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AXTA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +3.3%.
With a market cap of $5.4 billion, AXTA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 17.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 10.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AXTA would have grown to $92, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. AXTA has returned -0.8% annualized vs 13.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 46.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AXTA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AXTA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying AXTA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.1% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +15.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.2% vs +34.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AXTA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AXTA has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +3.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2015 | Mar 2016 | 20 | 19.3% | -9.4% | -7.9% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 11 | 7.6% | +10.6% | -9.9% |
| Aug 2016 | Aug 2016 | 2 | 0.8% | +2.6% | -9.1% |
| Sep 2016 | Jan 2017 | 18 | 12.6% | +1.0% | -9.7% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 1 | 1.4% | +7.5% | -9.9% |
| Sep 2017 | Sep 2017 | 1 | 0.7% | +3.3% | -10.6% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 1.4% | -9.6% | -10.0% |
| Sep 2018 | Jun 2019 | 40 | 24.2% | +7.4% | -13.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 4 | 6.6% | -22.5% | -11.2% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 2 | 2.9% | +0.5% | -9.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Feb 2020 | 2 | 0.7% | -4.4% | -11.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 48.8% | -1.9% | -12.3% |
| Jan 2021 | Mar 2021 | 6 | 3.5% | +9.9% | -7.7% |
| Feb 2022 | Jan 2023 | 45 | 22.3% | +26.2% | +3.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 8 | 7.1% | +28.0% | -5.8% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 2.8% | N/A | -14.4% |
| Jun 2025 | Aug 2025 | 10 | 9.1% | N/A | -11.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 12 | 13.5% | N/A | -16.0% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 17.7% | Ongoing | -14.1% |
| Average | 12 | — | +3.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AXTA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. (AXTA) is trading 17.7% below its 200-week moving average of $30.92. The current price is $25.44.
What is AXTA's 200-week moving average price?
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $30.92 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AXTA drops below its 200-week moving average?
AXTA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +3.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is AXTA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AXTA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 27 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 8.7%. Return on equity is 17.4%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AXTA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.5 years, $100 invested in AXTA would have grown to $92, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. That's -0.8% annualized vs 13.3% for the index. AXTA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20