AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited Financial Services - Insurance - Specialty Investor Relations →
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) closed at $99.57 as of 2026-03-20, trading 39.3% above its 200-week moving average of $71.50. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1137 weeks of data, AXS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AXS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.4%.
With a market cap of $7.7 billion, AXS is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 16.2%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AXS would have grown to $622, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. AXS has returned 8.7% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AXS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AXS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying AXS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.4% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.7% vs +27.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AXS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AXS has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +14.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2004 | Dec 2004 | 21 | 12.7% | +12.7% | +578.0% |
| Mar 2005 | Apr 2005 | 2 | 0.8% | +14.1% | +548.2% |
| May 2005 | May 2005 | 2 | 4.0% | +17.7% | +569.4% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 2.6% | +37.1% | +551.3% |
| May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 2 | 0.8% | +44.3% | +523.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 5 | 8.2% | -14.8% | +423.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 53 | 39.8% | +3.6% | +436.6% |
| Oct 2009 | Feb 2010 | 16 | 9.4% | +16.5% | +407.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 5 | 4.6% | +18.6% | +411.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 3.1% | +8.1% | +414.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 14.1% | +17.0% | +400.8% |
| Nov 2017 | Mar 2018 | 16 | 8.8% | +6.6% | +142.8% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 2 | 1.0% | +12.9% | +127.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 6.8% | +14.8% | +131.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2021 | 53 | 37.6% | -5.8% | +113.5% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 2 | 1.3% | +18.8% | +125.1% |
| Jun 2021 | Jul 2021 | 6 | 5.2% | +18.4% | +135.6% |
| Aug 2021 | Oct 2021 | 6 | 9.8% | +13.7% | +129.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.5% | +18.6% | +119.8% |
| Average | 11 | — | +14.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AXS below its 200-week moving average?
No. AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) is currently 39.3% above its 200-week moving average of $71.50. It would need to fall to $71.50 to cross below the line.
What is AXS's 200-week moving average price?
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited's 200-week moving average is $71.50 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AXS drops below its 200-week moving average?
AXS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is AXS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AXS as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 16.2%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AXS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.8 years, $100 invested in AXS would have grown to $622, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. AXS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AXS pay a dividend?
Yes. AXIS Capital Holdings Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 177.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20