AXGN

Axogen, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Devices Investor Relations →

NO
188.3% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 191.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $12.11
14-Week RSI 73

Axogen, Inc. (AXGN) closed at $34.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 188.3% above its 200-week moving average of $12.11. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 191.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, AXGN is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1994 weeks of data, AXGN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AXGN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.0%.

With a market cap of $1752 million, AXGN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.3%. Return on equity stands at -1.9%. The stock trades at 13.3x book value.

Share count has increased 5.8% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AXGN would have grown to $400, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. AXGN has returned 4.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: AXGN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AXGN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying AXGN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.6% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.2% vs +37.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AXGN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

AXGN has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +11.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 1987Dec 198731.6%+5.1%+918.0%
Jan 1988Feb 198824.1%+7.9%+944.8%
Feb 1988Apr 1988711.3%+22.2%+1002.8%
Apr 1988Jun 198897.9%-5.1%+918.0%
Aug 1988Aug 198823.5%+7.7%+918.0%
Nov 1988Dec 198835.3%-2.6%+944.8%
Feb 1989Feb 198910.9%-15.0%+892.5%
Apr 1989Apr 198938.4%-10.3%+918.0%
May 1989May 198911.0%N/A+892.5%
Jul 1989Sep 198986.1%-7.7%+918.0%
Oct 1989Mar 19917132.5%-12.8%+918.0%
Jun 1994Jun 199410.5%+44.0%+411.7%
Aug 1994Nov 19941320.6%+29.4%+401.7%
Dec 1994Mar 19951520.6%+44.6%+424.9%
Jul 1995Jul 199511.1%+17.3%+354.9%
Nov 1995Dec 199515.6%-25.0%+373.8%
Jul 1996Aug 199631.6%-32.9%+331.9%
Sep 1996Jan 200438589.9%-32.5%+343.1%
Feb 2004Mar 2004416.7%+95.7%+3608.3%
Mar 2004Jul 20041751.4%+93.3%+4122.3%
Oct 2004Oct 2004213.2%-25.9%+4296.4%
Nov 2004Nov 200439.0%-7.5%+4164.5%
Sep 2005Apr 20078572.7%-73.0%+4050.8%
Dec 2007Dec 200712.2%+96.9%+3092.9%
Jan 2011Jan 20124933.7%+3.3%+1064.3%
Jan 2012Apr 20121219.7%+17.7%+1026.8%
Jun 2012Jan 20132820.6%+44.7%+1064.3%
Aug 2013Sep 201348.4%-24.2%+1072.1%
Mar 2014Dec 20143829.8%+0.9%+984.8%
Feb 2015Mar 201521.1%+58.4%+1001.9%
Apr 2015Jul 2015116.7%+82.4%+995.0%
Jan 2019Feb 201956.8%-2.1%+115.1%
Jul 2019Aug 202426468.7%-33.1%+98.6%
Jun 2025Jun 202526.2%N/A+258.3%
Average31+11.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02