AX
Axos Financial, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Axos Financial, Inc. (AX) closed at $101.01 as of 2026-02-02, trading 77.5% above its 200-week moving average of $56.90. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 74.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, AX is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1042 weeks of data, AX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.0%.
With a market cap of $5.7 billion, AX is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 20.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AX would have grown to $5772, compared to $780 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 22.4% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming AX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 30.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: AX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying AX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.4% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +18.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +80.7% vs +41.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AX has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +37.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2006 | Aug 2008 | 128 | 28.6% | +5.4% | +5360.0% |
| Aug 2008 | May 2009 | 37 | 49.5% | +9.6% | +6333.8% |
| May 2009 | Jul 2009 | 10 | 12.4% | +123.0% | +5807.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 12.4% | +97.0% | +582.5% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 0.1% | +43.2% | +485.6% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.5% | +35.5% | +484.2% |
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 8 | 8.4% | +35.3% | +490.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 2 | 4.0% | +46.8% | +450.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 8.9% | +22.0% | +308.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | -20.2% | +269.9% |
| Jun 2019 | Oct 2019 | 16 | 9.7% | -19.5% | +287.0% |
| Jan 2020 | Nov 2020 | 42 | 48.5% | +46.7% | +255.0% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | +11.8% | +186.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.9% | +15.9% | +190.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 4.8% | +10.6% | +195.1% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.7% | +47.5% | +181.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 4 | 3.5% | +44.9% | +180.1% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 3.1% | +64.5% | +176.0% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 4.0% | +46.5% | +175.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 10 | 11.2% | +73.0% | +163.9% |
| Average | 14 | — | +37.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02