AWR
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American States Water Company (AWR) closed at $72.40 as of 2026-03-20, trading 5.8% below its 200-week moving average of $76.82. This places AWR in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2721 weeks of data, AWR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AWR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.8%.
With a market cap of $2.8 billion, AWR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.3%. The stock trades at 2.7x book value.
Share count has increased 5.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AWR would have grown to $3172, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming AWR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AWR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AWR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying AWR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.2% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +18.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.9% vs +38.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AWR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AWR has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +11.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1974 | Jun 1975 | 68 | 26.8% | -12.0% | +14573.4% |
| Aug 1975 | Jan 1976 | 24 | 11.1% | +13.3% | +17508.1% |
| Mar 1976 | Jul 1976 | 17 | 9.1% | +12.5% | +16407.6% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1982 | 156 | 26.4% | -18.2% | +14306.6% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 0.9% | +34.7% | +8446.7% |
| Aug 1994 | Aug 1994 | 1 | 3.7% | +17.2% | +3536.3% |
| Sep 1994 | Dec 1994 | 12 | 8.7% | +19.4% | +3394.7% |
| Mar 1995 | Apr 1995 | 7 | 5.2% | +25.6% | +3348.8% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 3.9% | +26.6% | +1059.6% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 2.0% | +43.8% | +1013.5% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 12.4% | +19.2% | +584.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Jan 2009 | 11 | 10.9% | +3.5% | +576.4% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 2 | 6.8% | -1.2% | +539.2% |
| Apr 2009 | Jul 2009 | 10 | 8.0% | +13.5% | +532.6% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 5 | 5.3% | +2.5% | +537.1% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 5 | 7.0% | +16.1% | +537.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 11 | 7.1% | +5.2% | +508.1% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 4 | 4.0% | +0.7% | +509.8% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 3.7% | +10.1% | +529.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 6.3% | +3.5% | +521.4% |
| Sep 2010 | Sep 2010 | 2 | 1.2% | +2.2% | +514.8% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 2 | 1.3% | +14.0% | +506.1% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 2 | 1.5% | +17.6% | +513.5% |
| May 2011 | May 2011 | 2 | 0.5% | +13.4% | +502.7% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 0.0% | +16.9% | +502.6% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +21.9% | +4.1% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 6.2% | +22.9% | +8.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +2.8% | +0.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 11 | 5.7% | +7.0% | -4.7% |
| Dec 2023 | Jul 2024 | 30 | 16.1% | -0.9% | -4.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 66+ | 12.5% | Ongoing | -5.9% |
| Average | 15 | — | +11.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AWR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, American States Water Company (AWR) is trading 5.8% below its 200-week moving average of $76.82. The current price is $72.40.
What is AWR's 200-week moving average price?
American States Water Company's 200-week moving average is $76.82 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AWR drops below its 200-week moving average?
AWR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is AWR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AWR as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 13.3%. Price-to-book is 2.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AWR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in AWR would have grown to $3172, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 11.0% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. AWR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AWR pay a dividend?
Yes. American States Water Company currently pays a dividend yield of 278.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20