AWR
American States Water Company Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Water Investor Relations →
American States Water Company (AWR) closed at $70.47 as of 2026-02-02, trading 8.9% below its 200-week moving average of $77.34. This places AWR in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -5.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2715 weeks of data, AWR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 31 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AWR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.8%.
With a market cap of $2.7 billion, AWR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.8%. The stock trades at 2.7x book value.
Share count has increased 3.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AWR would have grown to $3066, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.9% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming AWR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AWR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AWR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying AWR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.2% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +18.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.9% vs +38.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AWR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AWR has crossed below its 200-week MA 31 times with an average 1-year return of +11.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1974 | Jun 1975 | 68 | 26.8% | -12.0% | +14083.6% |
| Aug 1975 | Jan 1976 | 24 | 11.1% | +13.3% | +16920.3% |
| Mar 1976 | Jul 1976 | 17 | 9.1% | +12.5% | +15856.5% |
| Oct 1979 | Oct 1982 | 156 | 26.4% | -18.2% | +13825.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1987 | 1 | 0.9% | +34.7% | +8161.4% |
| Aug 1994 | Aug 1994 | 1 | 3.7% | +17.2% | +3414.9% |
| Sep 1994 | Dec 1994 | 12 | 8.7% | +19.4% | +3278.0% |
| Mar 1995 | Apr 1995 | 7 | 5.2% | +25.6% | +3233.6% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 3.9% | +26.6% | +1020.9% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 5 | 2.0% | +43.8% | +976.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 12.4% | +19.2% | +561.7% |
| Nov 2008 | Jan 2009 | 11 | 10.9% | +3.5% | +553.8% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 2 | 6.8% | -1.2% | +517.8% |
| Apr 2009 | Jul 2009 | 10 | 8.0% | +13.5% | +511.4% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 5 | 5.3% | +2.5% | +515.8% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 5 | 7.0% | +16.1% | +516.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 11 | 7.1% | +5.2% | +487.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 4 | 4.0% | +0.7% | +489.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 3.7% | +10.1% | +508.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 6.3% | +3.5% | +500.6% |
| Sep 2010 | Sep 2010 | 2 | 1.2% | +2.2% | +494.3% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 2 | 1.3% | +14.0% | +485.8% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 2 | 1.5% | +17.6% | +493.1% |
| May 2011 | May 2011 | 2 | 0.5% | +13.4% | +482.6% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 0.0% | +16.9% | +482.5% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +21.9% | +0.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 6.2% | +22.9% | +4.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 1 | 1.3% | +2.8% | -2.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 11 | 5.7% | +7.0% | -7.9% |
| Dec 2023 | Jul 2024 | 30 | 16.1% | -0.9% | -8.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 60+ | 12.5% | Ongoing | -9.1% |
| Average | 15 | — | +11.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02