AWK
American Water Works Company, Inc. Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Water Investor Relations →
American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) closed at $125.07 as of 2026-06-19, trading 4.1% below its 200-week moving average of $130.41. This places AWK in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -3.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 27, AWK is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 899 weeks of data, AWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AWK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.8%.
With a market cap of $24.4 billion, AWK is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
AWK is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 279.00%. Share count has increased 7.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AWK would have grown to $1031, compared to $1287 for the S&P 500. AWK has returned 14.4% annualized vs 15.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AWK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AWK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying AWK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +4.6% after 12 months (median -3.0%), compared to +24.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.1% vs +47.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AWK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. AWK currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AWK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AWK has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +7.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2009 | Jul 2009 | 17 | 13.7% | +24.0% | +930.8% |
| Aug 2009 | Aug 2009 | 1 | 1.5% | +23.3% | +876.7% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +30.9% | +874.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +15.0% | +3.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 4 | 6.9% | -3.1% | +4.6% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 4 | 5.6% | -12.5% | -3.4% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | -3.9% | -5.0% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 2 | 1.9% | -7.5% | -5.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2024 | 56 | 20.0% | +6.1% | -5.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Mar 2025 | 21 | 14.0% | +5.4% | -5.9% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 0.6% | N/A | -5.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Feb 2026 | 17 | 6.6% | N/A | -0.6% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 10+ | 5.7% | Ongoing | -4.3% |
| Average | 10 | — | +7.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AWK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, American Water Works Company, Inc. (AWK) is trading 4.1% below its 200-week moving average of $130.41. The current price is $125.07.
What is AWK's 200-week moving average price?
American Water Works Company, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $130.41 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AWK drops below its 200-week moving average?
AWK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is AWK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AWK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 27 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 10.2%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AWK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.3 years, $100 invested in AWK would have grown to $1031, compared to $1287 for the S&P 500. That's 14.4% annualized vs 15.9% for the index. AWK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AWK pay a dividend?
Yes. American Water Works Company, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 279.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19