AVY
Avery Dennison Corporation Consumer Cyclical - Packaging & Containers Investor Relations →
Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) closed at $191.51 as of 2026-02-02, trading 5.9% above its 200-week moving average of $180.79. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 2.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, AVY is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2715 weeks of data, AVY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AVY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.9%.
With a market cap of $14.8 billion, AVY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 30.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.6x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AVY would have grown to $3149, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming AVY as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AVY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AVY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying AVY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.1% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +7.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.7% vs +12.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AVY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AVY has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +12.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Mar 1974 | 6 | 17.2% | -26.6% | +9957.2% |
| Mar 1974 | Jun 1974 | 10 | 6.3% | -28.5% | +9924.6% |
| Jul 1974 | Jan 1980 | 288 | 47.2% | -19.6% | +9702.5% |
| Mar 1980 | Jun 1980 | 16 | 16.6% | +27.0% | +20829.8% |
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 1 | 0.5% | +51.4% | +21411.1% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 8 | 9.8% | +39.1% | +5392.2% |
| Jun 1990 | Jul 1990 | 2 | 2.2% | +10.0% | +3846.4% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1991 | 30 | 31.4% | +16.5% | +4142.9% |
| Sep 1991 | Dec 1991 | 16 | 11.1% | +27.2% | +3900.7% |
| Sep 2000 | Nov 2000 | 10 | 11.1% | +5.4% | +630.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 1.8% | +10.9% | +610.6% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 1 | 0.6% | +9.3% | +597.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Nov 2001 | 21 | 15.7% | +29.1% | +589.8% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | -0.2% | +533.3% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 5.0% | +22.4% | +532.9% |
| Apr 2003 | Nov 2003 | 32 | 14.2% | +36.0% | +600.2% |
| Nov 2004 | Nov 2004 | 1 | 0.2% | +8.3% | +487.4% |
| Apr 2005 | Oct 2005 | 28 | 8.1% | +13.8% | +500.6% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 1 | 0.3% | +26.1% | +464.1% |
| Aug 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 0.2% | -13.7% | +425.0% |
| Sep 2007 | Nov 2010 | 168 | 65.7% | -12.4% | +439.2% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 0.3% | -20.0% | +620.8% |
| Jul 2011 | Jul 2012 | 53 | 28.7% | -11.5% | +678.4% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 3 | 3.9% | +47.3% | +733.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 5.9% | +101.3% | +132.6% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 4 | 2.2% | -1.7% | +4.0% |
| Jan 2025 | Dec 2025 | 45 | 12.6% | +2.0% | +5.3% |
| Average | 28 | — | +12.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02