AVNW
Aviat Networks, Inc. Technology - Communication Equipment Investor Relations →
Aviat Networks, Inc. (AVNW) closed at $26.36 as of 2026-02-02, trading 3.5% below its 200-week moving average of $27.32. This places AVNW in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -20.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1972 weeks of data, AVNW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 43 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AVNW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.7%.
With a market cap of $340 million, AVNW is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 5.6%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 14.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AVNW would have grown to $103, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. AVNW has returned 0.1% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: AVNW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AVNW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying AVNW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.6% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +10.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +149.0% vs +29.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AVNW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AVNW has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +38.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 5 | 10.3% | +100.0% | -44.2% |
| Jun 1988 | Jul 1988 | 1 | 0.6% | +37.6% | -47.1% |
| Aug 1988 | Sep 1988 | 4 | 2.4% | +50.7% | -47.5% |
| Nov 1988 | Nov 1988 | 1 | 4.3% | +50.8% | -45.9% |
| Apr 1990 | Aug 1993 | 175 | 68.2% | +14.7% | -31.1% |
| Apr 1994 | May 1994 | 4 | 26.5% | -2.1% | -26.8% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 4 | 25.9% | +26.6% | -11.0% |
| Apr 1995 | Jun 1995 | 11 | 17.0% | -24.4% | -21.9% |
| Jul 1995 | Sep 1995 | 6 | 11.0% | +23.7% | -27.5% |
| Sep 1995 | May 1996 | 33 | 37.5% | +82.8% | -29.0% |
| May 1998 | Apr 1999 | 46 | 72.5% | +30.7% | -54.5% |
| Sep 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 2.6% | -67.9% | -72.6% |
| Nov 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 9.5% | -53.9% | -71.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Nov 2005 | 255 | 92.4% | -40.3% | -66.2% |
| Nov 2005 | Nov 2005 | 1 | 3.4% | +54.9% | +52.5% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 1.3% | -12.2% | -44.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2017 | 448 | 72.5% | -4.9% | -41.6% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 5.0% | +15.5% | +289.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 10.1% | +15.7% | +327.9% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 3.4% | +3.7% | +299.1% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 2 | 4.7% | -26.7% | +304.6% |
| Apr 2019 | Aug 2019 | 17 | 8.2% | -31.4% | +287.6% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2020 | 1 | 0.9% | +139.9% | +278.7% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2020 | 16 | 47.4% | +162.4% | +284.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 2 | 2.4% | +421.5% | +270.0% |
| Jun 2024 | Ongoing | 87+ | 55.1% | Ongoing | -10.3% |
| Average | 43 | — | +38.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02