AVNT
Avient Corporation Materials - Specialty Polymers Investor Relations →
Avient Corporation (AVNT) closed at $37.66 as of 2026-06-19, trading 3.6% above its 200-week moving average of $36.37. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 3.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.17 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1348 weeks of data, AVNT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AVNT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.1%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, AVNT is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.7%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 25.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AVNT would have grown to $602, compared to $778 for the S&P 500. AVNT has returned 7.2% annualized vs 8.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AVNT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AVNT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 29 historical episodes, buying AVNT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.5% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 63% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.1% vs +12.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AVNT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices AVNT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where AVNT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $32.54 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $35.44 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.92 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $43.15 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $48.41 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from AVNT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
AVNT has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +4.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2000 | May 2001 | 40 | 48.5% | +25.3% | +561.2% |
| Jun 2001 | Jun 2001 | 1 | 1.5% | +37.9% | +487.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 10 | 16.0% | +16.9% | +581.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Sep 2002 | 5 | 3.1% | -54.7% | +453.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2004 | 106 | 65.2% | -49.7% | +482.5% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 1 | 3.3% | -21.3% | +602.8% |
| May 2005 | Jan 2006 | 37 | 23.3% | +25.2% | +581.1% |
| Jan 2007 | Jan 2007 | 1 | 0.3% | -19.7% | +625.9% |
| Feb 2007 | Jul 2007 | 20 | 14.4% | -4.7% | +627.0% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 1.9% | +3.7% | +599.9% |
| Sep 2007 | May 2008 | 33 | 25.5% | -10.0% | +579.3% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 11.1% | -56.2% | +618.7% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 0.4% | -43.0% | +574.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 52 | 79.8% | -11.9% | +584.8% |
| Sep 2009 | Nov 2009 | 6 | 13.9% | +91.8% | +700.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 12 | 16.3% | +18.8% | +70.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 2 | 3.3% | +21.2% | +52.3% |
| Oct 2016 | Dec 2016 | 8 | 10.8% | +34.8% | +51.8% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 4 | 3.1% | +37.8% | +47.4% |
| Mar 2017 | Mar 2017 | 3 | 0.5% | +36.4% | +41.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Dec 2019 | 60 | 27.5% | +7.2% | +49.1% |
| Jan 2020 | Nov 2020 | 40 | 57.6% | +19.5% | +34.2% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 16 | 22.0% | +6.9% | +14.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Dec 2023 | 17 | 18.5% | +29.1% | +11.1% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 7 | 5.6% | +5.4% | +5.8% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 4 | 8.5% | -22.8% | -5.0% |
| Mar 2025 | Feb 2026 | 47 | 25.9% | -12.3% | -2.1% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 5 | 14.2% | N/A | +4.5% |
| Apr 2026 | Jun 2026 | 6 | 8.1% | N/A | +3.2% |
| Average | 19 | — | +4.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVNT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Avient Corporation (AVNT) is currently 3.6% above its 200-week moving average of $36.37. It would need to fall to $36.37 to cross below the line.
What is AVNT's 200-week moving average price?
Avient Corporation's 200-week moving average is $36.37 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AVNT drops below its 200-week moving average?
AVNT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is AVNT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AVNT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 10.2%. Return on equity is 6.7%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AVNT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25.9 years, $100 invested in AVNT would have grown to $602, compared to $778 for the S&P 500. That's 7.2% annualized vs 8.2% for the index. AVNT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AVNT pay a dividend?
Yes. Avient Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 292.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19