AVA
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Avista Corporation (AVA) closed at $38.37 as of 2026-03-20, trading 10.1% above its 200-week moving average of $34.87. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 14.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.66 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2721 weeks of data, AVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AVA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.0%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, AVA is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 7.3%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 9.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AVA would have grown to $878, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. AVA has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: AVA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After AVA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying AVA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.0% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +8.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +9.9% vs +18.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AVA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
AVA has crossed below its 200-week MA 37 times with an average 1-year return of +10.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Feb 1974 | 4 | 2.9% | N/A | +2552.8% |
| Apr 1974 | Jan 1975 | 43 | 18.0% | -8.3% | +2552.8% |
| Feb 1975 | Jun 1975 | 16 | 8.0% | +15.5% | +2714.2% |
| Jul 1975 | Oct 1975 | 12 | 5.1% | +17.3% | +2676.7% |
| Nov 1975 | Dec 1975 | 4 | 1.2% | +22.5% | +2658.3% |
| Nov 1978 | Dec 1978 | 7 | 2.0% | -4.1% | +2335.7% |
| Sep 1979 | Aug 1982 | 152 | 26.7% | -19.2% | +2253.1% |
| Aug 1982 | Sep 1982 | 1 | 1.7% | +3.3% | +2676.7% |
| Feb 1984 | Feb 1984 | 1 | 0.7% | +4.0% | +2695.3% |
| Mar 1984 | Nov 1984 | 34 | 12.6% | +8.7% | +2695.3% |
| Nov 1984 | Dec 1984 | 6 | 4.0% | +26.6% | +2812.6% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 5 | 4.1% | +14.1% | +885.3% |
| Aug 1994 | Aug 1994 | 1 | 0.8% | +13.1% | +868.9% |
| Sep 1994 | Jan 1995 | 20 | 7.1% | +15.9% | +873.7% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 15 | 13.3% | +82.3% | +532.4% |
| Jun 1999 | Oct 1999 | 19 | 3.9% | +40.8% | +525.7% |
| Nov 1999 | Jan 2000 | 9 | 12.0% | +36.7% | +503.5% |
| Jun 2000 | Sep 2000 | 12 | 9.1% | +2.9% | +479.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 3.2% | -22.1% | +452.7% |
| Jan 2001 | Apr 2001 | 17 | 18.1% | -16.8% | +504.6% |
| Jun 2001 | Sep 2003 | 116 | 43.8% | -38.8% | +426.0% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 2.9% | +22.6% | +510.4% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 1 | 1.4% | +22.3% | +345.3% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 4 | 6.1% | -19.0% | +333.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Aug 2009 | 43 | 33.2% | +24.9% | +359.9% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 2 | 2.0% | +20.7% | +304.4% |
| Feb 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.7% | +21.7% | +30.8% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 2 | 0.9% | -8.2% | +28.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 16.8% | +33.8% | +40.1% |
| Apr 2020 | Mar 2021 | 45 | 22.2% | +13.5% | +18.2% |
| Aug 2021 | Dec 2021 | 17 | 6.1% | +9.3% | +15.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 6.9% | -8.4% | +23.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 3.7% | -7.5% | +14.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Apr 2024 | 39 | 16.7% | +12.9% | +19.1% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 6 | 7.0% | +11.9% | +19.4% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.0% | +9.6% | +12.8% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 2.7% | +16.3% | +16.0% |
| Average | 18 | — | +10.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Avista Corporation (AVA) is currently 10.1% above its 200-week moving average of $34.87. It would need to fall to $34.87 to cross below the line.
What is AVA's 200-week moving average price?
Avista Corporation's 200-week moving average is $34.87 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when AVA drops below its 200-week moving average?
AVA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is AVA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about AVA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 7.3%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does AVA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in AVA would have grown to $878, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 6.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. AVA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does AVA pay a dividend?
Yes. Avista Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 511.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20