AUB

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NO
32.4% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 23.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $31.55
14-Week RSI 89

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB) closed at $41.78 as of 2026-02-02, trading 32.4% above its 200-week moving average of $31.55. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 23.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 89, AUB is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1639 weeks of data, AUB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought AUB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.2%.

With a market cap of $6.0 billion, AUB is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.7%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 18.6% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 31.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in AUB would have grown to $1028, compared to $2612 for the S&P 500. AUB has returned 7.7% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: AUB vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After AUB Crosses Below the Line?

Across 28 historical episodes, buying AUB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.7% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +19.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.1% vs +42.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment AUB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

AUB has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +14.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1994Sep 199412.8%+17.1%+1056.3%
Dec 1994Jan 199542.9%+13.3%+1044.5%
Jan 1995Apr 19951210.8%+5.9%+1044.5%
Jun 1995Jun 199521.6%+10.5%+1031.7%
Jul 1995Jul 199511.7%+3.2%+1031.7%
Mar 1996Mar 199611.1%+4.3%+1003.0%
Apr 1996May 199644.7%+6.5%+1026.0%
Jul 1996Aug 199661.0%+27.3%+997.0%
Sep 1996Sep 199620.1%+28.0%+985.9%
Apr 1997Apr 199710.4%+83.9%+984.0%
Feb 1999Feb 199910.8%-12.5%+770.5%
Aug 1999Apr 20018543.1%-29.1%+765.6%
Jul 2001Jul 200115.2%+93.4%+759.8%
Sep 2001Sep 200110.5%+54.4%+719.9%
Apr 2007Sep 20087239.0%-18.5%+206.2%
Sep 2008Oct 200812.4%-46.1%+198.7%
Oct 2008Dec 2008930.4%-38.2%+226.9%
Jan 2009Feb 201216254.9%-40.3%+217.6%
Feb 2012Mar 201215.1%+44.9%+373.1%
Mar 2012Jun 2012105.4%+43.7%+354.9%
Dec 2018Dec 201827.1%+43.3%+93.4%
Feb 2020Nov 20204039.8%+28.2%+73.4%
Sep 2022Oct 202224.0%-1.7%+56.1%
Apr 2023Jul 20231425.9%+17.5%+63.0%
Aug 2023Nov 2023139.5%+28.1%+50.4%
Jun 2024Jun 202422.1%+3.3%+43.5%
Mar 2025Jun 20251626.4%N/A+33.5%
Jul 2025Aug 202511.9%N/A+36.5%
Average17+14.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02