ATRO
Astronics Corporation Industrials - Aerospace & Defense Investor Relations →
Astronics Corporation (ATRO) closed at $80.56 as of 2026-06-19, trading 189.1% above its 200-week moving average of $27.87. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 178.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.98 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, ATRO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ATRO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.3%.
With a market cap of $3.5 billion, ATRO is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 21.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.9x book value.
Share count has increased 10.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATRO would have grown to $66164, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.4% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming ATRO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ATRO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATRO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying ATRO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +6.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.5% vs +20.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATRO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ATRO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ATRO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $62.50 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $77.76 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $102.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $152.04 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $291.05 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ATRO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ATRO has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +21.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Apr 1981 | 6 | 8.9% | +81.3% | +126097.9% |
| Jun 1981 | Jun 1981 | 2 | 3.0% | +41.2% | +118674.5% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 5 | 11.0% | +37.5% | +126097.9% |
| Aug 1982 | Sep 1982 | 4 | 5.9% | +123.7% | +106172.0% |
| Aug 1987 | Sep 1987 | 2 | 14.9% | -22.5% | +32982.0% |
| Sep 1987 | Sep 1987 | 1 | 0.8% | -31.9% | +28054.9% |
| Oct 1987 | Jul 1991 | 198 | 82.9% | -35.0% | +32982.0% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 5 | 12.9% | +37.5% | +82605.0% |
| Jan 1992 | Jan 1992 | 3 | 10.2% | +20.0% | +75516.0% |
| Aug 1994 | Mar 1995 | 28 | 22.3% | +26.4% | +69494.5% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 5.3% | -20.1% | +11389.4% |
| Jun 2002 | Oct 2003 | 70 | 48.2% | -20.7% | +10414.5% |
| Sep 2004 | Sep 2004 | 1 | 0.5% | +94.3% | +9111.4% |
| May 2008 | May 2008 | 1 | 2.6% | -26.0% | +2576.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 7 | 24.6% | -17.8% | +2602.5% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2010 | 83 | 50.6% | -31.8% | +2461.7% |
| Jul 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 1.0% | +116.2% | +2124.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 2 | 1.5% | +68.2% | +2121.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 5 | 19.2% | +18.4% | +325.6% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 2 | 1.1% | +0.4% | +288.8% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 6 | 8.4% | -1.5% | +286.0% |
| Dec 2016 | Nov 2017 | 46 | 31.6% | +23.9% | +245.6% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 4 | 4.5% | +26.4% | +235.3% |
| Apr 2018 | Jun 2018 | 5 | 5.9% | +38.8% | +233.9% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 3 | 2.9% | +57.1% | +223.7% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2023 | 170 | 74.1% | -50.6% | +219.7% |
| Average | 25 | — | +21.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Astronics Corporation (ATRO) is currently 189.1% above its 200-week moving average of $27.87. It would need to fall to $27.87 to cross below the line.
What is ATRO's 200-week moving average price?
Astronics Corporation's 200-week moving average is $27.87 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ATRO drops below its 200-week moving average?
ATRO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is ATRO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ATRO as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 21.2%. Price-to-book is 17.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ATRO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in ATRO would have grown to $66164, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 21.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ATRO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19