ATKR
Atkore Inc. Industrials - Electrical Equipment Investor Relations →
Atkore Inc. (ATKR) closed at $72.96 as of 2026-07-31, trading 28.1% below its 200-week moving average of $101.50. This places ATKR in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -24.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 481 weeks of data, ATKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ATKR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +93.8%.
With a market cap of $2.5 billion, ATKR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -9.0%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 9.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATKR would have grown to $346, compared to $358 for the S&P 500. ATKR has returned 14.4% annualized vs 14.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ATKR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATKR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying ATKR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +83.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +17.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +153.8% vs +29.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATKR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ATKR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ATKR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $52.85 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $59.38 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $67.75 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $78.88 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $94.38 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ATKR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ATKR has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +93.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2017 | Nov 2017 | 19 | 24.6% | +7.5% | +260.1% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | -2.4% | +264.0% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 12 | 14.0% | +16.0% | +264.6% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | +24.6% | +265.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 11 | 14.9% | +75.9% | +291.8% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 2.9% | -8.9% | +266.5% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 25.8% | +282.4% | +302.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.1% | +193.9% | +210.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 17.3% | +254.8% | +208.6% |
| Aug 2024 | Ongoing | 104+ | 51.8% | Ongoing | -20.3% |
| Average | 17 | — | +93.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) is trading 28.1% below its 200-week moving average of $101.50. The current price is $72.96.
What is ATKR's 200-week moving average price?
Atkore Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $101.50 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ATKR drops below its 200-week moving average?
ATKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +93.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is ATKR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ATKR as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 10.3%. Return on equity is -9.0%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ATKR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.2 years, $100 invested in ATKR would have grown to $346, compared to $358 for the S&P 500. That's 14.4% annualized vs 14.8% for the index. ATKR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ATKR pay a dividend?
Yes. Atkore Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 186.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31