ATKR
Atkore Inc. Industrials - Electrical Equipment Investor Relations →
Atkore Inc. (ATKR) closed at $94.15 as of 2026-09-11, trading 7.1% below its 200-week moving average of $101.32. This places ATKR in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -7.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (2.12 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 487 weeks of data, ATKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ATKR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +93.8%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, ATKR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -11.9%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 9.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATKR would have grown to $448, compared to $366 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.3% vs 14.8% for the index — confirming ATKR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -23.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ATKR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATKR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying ATKR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +83.4% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +17.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +138.8% vs +30.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATKR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ATKR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ATKR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-19.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $64.67 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $82.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $112.58 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $178.80 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $434.18 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | $1.54 | $1.92 | +24.9% |
| 2026-05-05 | $1.00 | $1.23 | +22.9% |
| 2026-02-03 | $0.63 | $0.83 | +31.8% |
| 2025-11-20 | $1.26 | $0.69 | -45.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ATKR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ATKR has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +93.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2017 | Nov 2017 | 19 | 24.6% | +7.5% | +366.3% |
| Dec 2017 | Dec 2017 | 1 | 0.2% | -2.4% | +371.4% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 12 | 14.0% | +16.0% | +372.1% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.6% | +24.6% | +373.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 11 | 14.9% | +75.9% | +407.4% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 2.9% | -8.9% | +374.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 9 | 25.8% | +282.4% | +421.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jun 2020 | 1 | 0.1% | +193.9% | +301.9% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 8 | 17.3% | +254.8% | +299.6% |
| Aug 2024 | Ongoing | 110+ | 51.8% | Ongoing | +3.3% |
| Average | 17 | — | +93.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATKR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Atkore Inc. (ATKR) is trading 7.1% below its 200-week moving average of $101.32. The current price is $94.15.
What is ATKR's 200-week moving average price?
Atkore Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $101.32 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ATKR drops below its 200-week moving average?
ATKR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +93.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is ATKR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ATKR as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow yield is 9.8%. Return on equity is -11.9%. Price-to-book is 2.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ATKR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.4 years, $100 invested in ATKR would have grown to $448, compared to $366 for the S&P 500. That's 17.3% annualized vs 14.8% for the index. ATKR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ATKR pay a dividend?
Yes. Atkore Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 140.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11