ATI
ATI Inc. Materials - Specialty Metals Investor Relations →
ATI Inc. (ATI) closed at $133.57 as of 2026-02-02, trading 148.5% above its 200-week moving average of $53.75. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 126.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 83, ATI is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1318 weeks of data, ATI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -8.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $18.4 billion, ATI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.9%. Return on equity stands at 21.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.1x book value.
Share count has increased 11.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 25.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ATI would have grown to $953, compared to $823 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 9.3% vs 8.7% for the index — confirming ATI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: ATI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ATI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 21 historical episodes, buying ATI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -3.2% after 12 months (median -29.0%), compared to +2.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 29% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.3% vs +19.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ATI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
ATI has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +-8.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2000 | May 2001 | 27 | 32.8% | -16.6% | +896.8% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 6 | 8.0% | -6.2% | +942.1% |
| Aug 2001 | May 2002 | 37 | 28.8% | -50.3% | +901.2% |
| Jun 2002 | Dec 2003 | 80 | 81.3% | -55.0% | +966.5% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 5 | 22.5% | +63.2% | +1306.7% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 3 | 5.2% | +107.0% | +1343.5% |
| Apr 2004 | May 2004 | 6 | 17.1% | +86.2% | +1334.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Dec 2010 | 129 | 73.1% | -41.3% | +162.7% |
| Dec 2010 | Jan 2011 | 1 | 0.2% | -12.2% | +173.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 21.6% | -36.7% | +209.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.6% | -36.8% | +244.9% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | -35.2% | +234.2% |
| Feb 2012 | Apr 2014 | 111 | 38.7% | -29.4% | +239.8% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 3.8% | -42.4% | +273.2% |
| Sep 2014 | May 2015 | 31 | 25.4% | -54.2% | +303.9% |
| May 2015 | Sep 2017 | 122 | 71.9% | -61.6% | +324.7% |
| Nov 2017 | Dec 2017 | 5 | 6.0% | +23.2% | +506.6% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 13 | 15.1% | -57.7% | +549.7% |
| Dec 2019 | Mar 2021 | 64 | 71.2% | -22.0% | +549.7% |
| Jul 2021 | Jan 2022 | 26 | 27.9% | +13.5% | +563.9% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 7.0% | +96.6% | +625.5% |
| Average | 32 | — | +-8.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02